Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.66 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @9.70 lapsed — closed 9.66 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. CCB turned from HOLD to a fresh BUY-ADD 73 pullback signal above all its moving averages and held flat while the HK-listed foreign banks fell ~5%, so the position is added at the model entry. OPS: adj 73+0-8 = 65 (on the floor; PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy -8 haircut stated); 63.97% x = 32,433 -> lot =; buy limit 9.70; stop 9.36 (model, 2 ATR); bank FV masked (HK-EOQ-5); estimator 4wk disagrees (T5); hk governs hkfin (L7). · news |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 142.60 | SELL 50% | 142.60 | 143.71⚠ | 142.85 (+0.2%) | 144.54 (+1.4%) | 140.63 (-1.4%) | HSBC fell another 4.9% to 142.60, its fifth close below the 155.31 risk line and now under its-day average, with a negative 12-week view, so half the position is cut. OPS: L2 50% carried (10-02..10-07 cards unexecuted; HK-EOQ-2); (lot 400); residual stop 143.71 already breached on a first close - second settled close < 143.71 -> sell remaining; reprice on >1.5% gap. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 95.60 | SELL 85.46% | 95.60 | 84.49 | 98.73 (+3.3%) | 100.17 (+4.8%) | 95.68 (+0.1%) | Hua Hong broke down 9.2% to 95.60 on a strong-sell 81, below its 100.58 re-arm line and all major averages, and it is richly priced, so two-thirds of the position is sold. OPS: 85.46% x -> lot =; market at open (engine bounce limit 101.69 is 1.1 ATR above, not used); G2 DCF blank -> no tier bump; residual stop 84.49 (2 ATR; model 78.40 refused HK-12); estimator disagrees (T5); hk governs hksemicon (L7). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 56.80 | SELL 85.46% | 56.80 | 52.28 | 56.00 (-1.4%) | 57.63 (+1.5%) | 58.45 (+2.9%) | SMIC printed a strong-sell 81 on three straight scans and closed at 56.80 below its 57.79 re-arm line and all major averages, so most of the position is sold ahead of TSMC results. OPS: 85.46% x -> lot 500 =; market at open (engine bounce limit 58.52 not used); G2 no tier bump; residual 500 stop 52.28 (2 ATR); hk governs hksemicon (L7). · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 411.40 | HOLD | — | 420.11⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tencent printed a strong-sell 86 and closed below its 420.11 watch line, but its one-lot trim ranks fourth on dollar exposure behind three larger exits, so it waits for a free slot. OPS: SELL 100 next slot (re-arm met); model stop 388.60; 10-02 SELL 100 UNRECONCILED. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 35.28 | HOLD | — | 38.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x SK Hynix tracker fell 5.3% after Samsung's record quarter was sold, staying below its 38.16 stop on a strong-sell 65, so the half-trim is armed but waits for a free slot. OPS: leveraged-ETF rule -> SELL 900 (50%) next slot; full exit needs conv>=70 + 3 prints + < stop; model stop 29.32 refused (HK-12). · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 218.00 | HOLD | — | 236.74⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | StanChart fell to 218.00, a fifth close below its 236.74 line with a negative 12-week view; the half-trim stands but ranks behind larger exits for a slot. OPS: L2 SELL 150 next slot; residual stop 206.58 (EMA); 10-07 card UNRECONCILED; earnings 10-28. · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 36.82 | HOLD | — | 35.83 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Link REIT eased from strong-sell to AVOID 63, which is not a sell label, so the unexecuted 10-07 trim is not re-slotted; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 35.83; model stops 36.82==close / 37.83>close refused (P6). · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 643.00 | HOLD | — | 580.67 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Z.AI slid 7.6% to 643 on AVOID 47 prints, still above its 580.67 watch line; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 580.67; model stop == close refused (P6); 10-06 SELL 800 UNRECONCILED. · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 476.80 | HOLD | — | 458.15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL holds above its 458.15 watch line on an AVOID 58 print with RSI deeply oversold, so no sale yet. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 458.15 -> SELL; model stop 509.81 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 163.80 | HOLD | — | 164.62⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT dipped 0.5% under its 164.62 stop on a HOLD 55 signal with a positive 12-week view, which is not a decisive break, so it is held on watch. OPS: second settled close < 164.62 with REDUCE>=65 or negative 12wk -> SELL 500 (L2 50%); model 145.94 not adopted; PROFIT_ARMED junk (P1). · news |
| 1810 | XIAOMI CORP-W | 23.66 | NO ACTION | 23.96 | 22.41 | 23.18 (-3.3%) | 22.27 (-7.1%) | 22.58 (-5.8%) | Xiaomi is the top buy at STRONG BUY 80, but its 12-week view sits below the close and the target barely covers half the stop risk, so it is not bought. OPS: falling knife (book note B); R:R 0.5; choppy trail (AVOID 52 x2 intraday); re-arm second settled STRONG BUY with positive 12wk; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
| 2318 | Aac Technologies Holdings | 51.30 | NO ACTION | 51.30 | 50.41 | 51.45 (+0.3%) | 50.87 (-0.8%) | 50.15 (-2.2%) | 2318 again flipped to BUY 70 only on the settled print after AVOID all day, with a 12-week view below the close and an unvalidated ticker/name pairing, so it is not bought. OPS: settled-only flip; falling knife (note B); P8(b) unfixed. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
264 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.