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HK End-of-Day Verdict 9 Oct 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-10-09 (hk)

Recommendations

1 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
0939CCB - H SHS9.73ADD — QUEUED @9.709.709.369.75 (+0.5%)9.66 (-0.4%)10.19 (+5.1%)CCB strengthened from HOLD to a STRONG BUY-ADD 86 pullback signal, ranked first in the book and holding above all its moving averages on a +1.8% Hang Seng day, so the add is placed at the model entry. OPS: adj 86+0-8 = 78 (PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy -8); 70.29% x = 35,637 -> lot =; buy limit 9.70 (live Entry_Price; supersedes the 10-08 32,000 queue - today's low 9.67 traded through 9.70 but no fill is recorded in hkportfolio.json, reconcile); stop 9.36 (model); bank FV masked (HK-EOQ-5); estimator 4wk flat (T5); hk governs hkfin (L7). · news
0005HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS145.20SELL 50%145.20143.71145.48 (+0.2%)146.04 (+0.6%)142.55 (-1.8%)HSBC bounced 1.8% to 145.20 but closed a sixth straight session below its 155.31 risk line on NO TRADE prints with a negative 12-week view, so half the position is still cut. OPS: L2 50% carried (10-02..10-08 cards unexecuted; HK-EOQ-2 - a green day is not a withdrawal); (lot 400); close back above EMA 143.72, so the residual full-exit re-arm (2nd settled close < 143.71) is NOT met; residual stop 143.71; reprice on >1.5% gap. · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor94.55SELL 85.46%94.5584.3197.16 (+2.8%)98.92 (+4.6%)94.02 (-0.6%)Hua Hong slipped to 94.55 on a strong-sell 81 breakdown, Sell_Rank 1, below its 100.58 line and every major average, and it is richly priced, so two-thirds of the position is sold. OPS: 85.46% x -> lot =; market at open; G2 DCF blank -> up-rank only, no tier bump; residual stop 84.31 (model, 1.85 ATR); estimator disagrees (T5); 10-05/10-08 cards unexecuted; hk governs hksemicon (L7). · news
3750CATL491.40SELL 85.46%491.40454.31488.61 (-0.6%)493.68 (+0.5%)494.08 (+0.5%)CATL printed a strong-sell 76 on six straight scans (Sell_Rank 4), below its 20- and 50-day averages and well under its-day, so the pre-committed trim fires. OPS: 10-08 re-arm 'settled REDUCE cv>=65' met; adj 76+4 = 80 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell +4, n=93); 85.46% x = 256 -> lot 100 =; residual 100 stop 454.31 (model, 2 ATR); FV NA (21x jump flag); estimator flat (T5). · news
0522ASMPT161.30HOLD—164.62⚠n/an/an/aASMPT closed a second session under its 164.62 stop at 161.30 and its 12-week view turned negative, so the half-trim is armed but ranks behind larger exits for a slot. OPS: L2 SELL 500 (50%, lot 100) first in line; model stop 142.77 not adopted; PROFIT_ARMED junk (P1). · news
0700TENCENT424.80HOLD—420.11n/an/an/aTencent printed strong-sell on every scan (76 settled) though it closed back above its 420.11 line at 424.80; the one-lot trim waits for a free slot. OPS: SELL 100 second in line; model stop 402.91; 10-02 SELL 100 UNRECONCILED; Avg_Cost 1.0 junk (P1). · news
7709XL2CSOPHYNIX35.40HOLD—38.16⚠n/an/an/aThe 2x SK Hynix tracker stayed below its 38.16 stop for a third close on strong-sell 74-77 across seven scans, which now meets the leveraged-ETF full-exit test, but it ranks behind larger exits. OPS: next slot -> SELL (full: conv>=70 + 3 prints + < stop) or minimum 900; model stop 29.65 refused (HK-12). · news
0823LINK REIT37.32HOLD—36.29n/an/an/aLink REIT returned to strong-sell 70-73 on all six scans today, re-arming the trim, but it is priced at fair value-or-better and its dollar exposure is small, so it waits for a slot. OPS: SELL 1,400 (one tier down for UNDERVALUED) fourth in line; stop 35.83 -> 36.29 (model, < close); 10-07 card UNRECONCILED. · news
2888STANCHART221.00HOLD—236.74⚠n/an/an/aStanChart closed a sixth session below its 236.74 line at 221.00 with a negative 12-week view; the half-trim stands behind larger exits. OPS: L2 SELL 150 fifth in line; residual stop 206.58 (EMA); 10-07 card UNRECONCILED; earnings 10-28. · news
0981SMIC57.65HOLD—57.79⚠n/an/an/aSMIC eased from strong-sell to AVOID 62 and closed only 0.2% under its 57.79 line with a positive 12-week view, so the unexecuted 10-08 sale is not re-slotted; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR decisive close < 57.19 (0.25 ATR); model stop 62.45 > close refused (P6); TSMC 10-15. · news
2513KNOWLEDGE ATLAS641.50HOLD—580.67n/an/an/aZ.AI held 641.50 on AVOID 47 prints, above its 580.67 watch line; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE cv>=65 OR close < 580.67; model stop == close refused (P6); 10-06 SELL 800 UNRECONCILED. · news
0068MANYCORE TECH6.70NO ACTION6.896.197.11 (+3.2%)7.17 (+4.1%)7.24 (+5.1%)Manycore flipped from AVOID 34 to BUY 74 only from the 15:00 scan, 86% below its 52-week high, and fails the quality screen, so no new entry. OPS: quality gate blocked (Quality_Pass False, negative equity/FCF); late flip; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

267 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.