Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 148.10 | SELL 50% | 148.10 | 155.31⚠ | 147.75 (-0.2%) | 147.33 (-0.5%) | 144.89 (-2.2%) | HSBC closed a seventh session below its 155.31 risk line at 148.10 with a negative 12-week view, so half the position (37% of the book) is cut. OPS: L2 50%, lot 400; residual stop 143.73 (EMA), full-exit re-arm on 2nd close < 143.73; prior cards 10-02..10-09 UNRECONCILED (HK-EOQ-2). · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 89.85 | SELL 85.46% | 89.85 | 100.58⚠ | 92.56 (+3.0%) | 95.80 (+6.6%) | 91.62 (+2.0%) | Hua Hong fell 5% to 89.85 on a sixth straight sell print (strong sell-reduce, bear-trend rally-sell) and trades well below every moving average; it is priced far beyond its fair-value anchor, so most of the position goes. OPS: 85.46% -> lot; residual stop 78.46 (model 2 ATR); TSMC 10-15 gate is event-only; estimator disagrees, down-weighted (T5). · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 494.80 | SELL 85.46% | 494.80 | 458.15 | 493.01 (-0.4%) | 493.05 (-0.4%) | 490.13 (-0.9%) | CATL printed strong sell-reduce on seven consecutive scans and rejected 513.50 intraday to close 494.80, below all trend averages; the model's flat forward view gives no reason to keep the position. OPS: 85.46% x (lot 100); residual 100 stop 456.21; Q3 results ~10-22 (unconfirmed). · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 160.70 | HOLD | — | 164.62⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT closed a third session below its 164.62 line with a flat-to-negative 12-week view; a half-trim is first in line behind larger exits. OPS: L2 SELL 500 first in line; ASML 10-14 / TSMC 10-15 read-through; Q3 ~10-27. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 31.82 | HOLD | — | 38.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x Hynix ETF fell 10% to 31.82 on a strong breakdown sell print (cv86) as memory peers slid on Chinese DRAM competition; the leveraged full-exit test is met. OPS: SELL second in line (slot cap, dollar bleed); model stop 25.30 refused (HK-12); Hynix Q3 ~10-27. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 56.20 | HOLD | — | 57.19⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC closed 56.20, through its pre-committed 57.19 sell trigger, on continued AVOID prints; a half-trim is queued behind larger exits. OPS: SELL third in line; 12wk 57.93 > close so not L2; model stop 60.88 > close refused (P6); TSMC 10-15. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 425.80 | HOLD | — | 420.11 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tencent printed strong sell-reduce on every scan but held above its 420.11 line at 425.80; the trim stays queued behind larger exits. OPS: SELL 100 fourth in line; model stop 405.49. · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 224.40 | HOLD | — | 236.74⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | StanChart closed a seventh session below its 236.74 line with a negative 12-week view; the half-trim stands behind larger exits. OPS: L2 SELL 150 fifth in line; residual stop 206.91 (EMA); US bank prints 10-14. · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 37.26 | HOLD | — | 36.29 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Link REIT eased from strong-sell to AVOID 47 on every print today, so its trim is de-slotted, but no bullish signal has appeared and the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 36.29; model stop 38.25 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 619.00 | HOLD | — | 580.67 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Z.AI slid 3.5% to 619 on AVOID prints, still above its 580.67 watch line; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 580.67; model stop == close refused (P6). · news |
| 0316 | OOIL | 159.70 | NO ACTION | 154.75 | 142.40 | 161.96 (+4.7%) | 163.42 (+5.6%) | 172.08 (+11.2%) | OOIL turned to BUY 74 on a 20-day breakout but fails the quality screen and is already 1 ATR past its entry, so there is no new entry. OPS: quality gate blocked (Quality_Pass False); extended -1.01 ATR -> would only queue @154.75; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
271 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.