Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.96 | ADD — QUEUED @9.94 | 9.94 | 9.59 | 10.04 (+1.0%) | 9.90 (-0.4%) | 10.11 (+1.7%) | CCB printed a fresh BUY-ADD 73 on a 52-week breakout at the settled close, with the entry only 0.11 ATR below the close and a positive 12-week view; the 52-week-breakout buy cell is the book's best graded buy (+6). OPS: GTC buy-limit @9.94 (63.97% x -> lot), expires 10-16; single print after 6x HOLD and RSI_DIV -> limit only, never chase above 9.98; NA_CCY masked (HK-EOQ-5); L7 hkfin must not double-add; stop 9.59. · news |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 150.70 | SELL 50% | 150.70 | 155.31⚠ | 151.07 (+0.2%) | 148.75 (-1.3%) | 147.06 (-2.4%) | HSBC closed an eighth session below its 155.31 stop with a negative 12-week view (147.06), the book's stop-break exit rule; it is 38% of the book. OPS: L2 50% trim, lot 400; residual stop 143.77 (EMA), full exit on a 2nd settled close below it; US bank prints 10-14 undirected (T3). · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 85.10 | SELL 85.46% | 85.10 | 100.58⚠ | 89.81 (+5.5%) | 93.95 (+10.4%) | 93.40 (+9.8%) | Hua Hong broke down to a new 20-day low (85.10, -5.3%) and the sell signal strengthened to STRONG SELL-REDUCE 83, Sell_Rank 1; it is 47% under cost and below every moving average. OPS: 85.46% x -> lot =; market (model rally-sell 88.67 noted); residual stop 71.69 (2 ATR; model 68.12 refused HK-12); estimator disagrees (T5); TSMC 10-15 gate is event-only. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 158.40 | SELL 50% | 158.40 | 164.62⚠ | 159.22 (+0.5%) | 157.04 (-0.9%) | 157.43 (-0.6%) | ASMPT closed a fourth session below its 164.62 stop with a negative 12-week view (157.43), the stop-break exit rule; it is 19% under cost. OPS: L2 50% -> lot 100 =; slot freed by 3750 de-slot; residual stop 146.56 (EMA); ASML 10-14 / TSMC 10-15 read-throughs undirected (T3). · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 26.10 | HOLD | — | 38.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x Hynix ETF fell another 18% to 26.10 on a STRONG SELL-REDUCE 83 breakdown; the leveraged-ETF full-exit test is met but it ranks fourth by dollar bleed. OPS: SELL (full exit) first in line; model stop 11.44 refused (HK-12). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 55.55 | HOLD | — | 57.19⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMIC eased to AVOID 51 after five strong-sell prints and sits below its 57.19 numeric re-arm; the sell case stays open. OPS: SELL second in line; model stop 61.01 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 425.20 | HOLD | — | 420.11 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tencent re-printed STRONG SELL-REDUCE 73 at the close, 1.2% above its 420.11 stop. OPS: SELL 100 third in line; model stop 405.37. · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 485.20 | HOLD | — | 458.15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL eased from STRONG SELL-REDUCE 76 to AVOID 63 on all six 10-13 prints, so its trim is de-slotted, but no bullish signal has appeared and the case stays open (HK-EOQ-2). OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 458.15; model stop 522.79 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 229.80 | HOLD | — | 236.74⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | StanChart is still below its 236.74 stop, but its 12-week view turned marginally positive (230.31 vs 229.80), so the stop-break exit rule is no longer met. OPS: re-arm L2 when 12wk < close again OR close < 206.98 (EMA). · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 37.76 | HOLD | — | 36.29 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Link REIT holds AVOID 51 with the close back above 37; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 36.29; model stop 38.82 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 601.00 | HOLD | — | 580.67 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Z.AI printed STRONG SELL-REDUCE but at only 34 conviction (below the 65 floor) and closed 601, above its 580.67 watch line (low 580.00). OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 580.67; model stop 482.60 (-20%) refused (HK-12). · news |
| 0857 | PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS | 10.22 | NO ACTION | 10.30 | 9.62 | 10.26 (-0.4%) | 10.20 (-1.0%) | 10.09 (-2.0%) | PetroChina jumped to STRONG BUY 84 on a 20-day breakout, but the model's own 12-week view (10.09) is below both the close and the 10.30 buy-stop, so there is no forward edge to buy. OPS: near-miss (book note B negative-12wk + single print); re-arm a 2nd STRONG BUY print with Target_12Week >= entry; earnings 10-29; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
274 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.