Recommendations
2 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.85 | ADD — QUEUED @9.72 | 9.72 | 9.59 | 9.91 (+2.0%) | 9.88 (+1.6%) | 10.12 (+4.1%) | CCB printed a second consecutive settled buy-add, now a pullback-to-VWAP entry at 9.72 below the 9.855 close, with a positive 12-week view (10.12). OPS: repriced from the unrecorded 10-@9.94 limit (provenance); PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy -8 haircut (raw 76 >= 75) -> adj 68; 63.97% x -> lot =; expires 10-20; stop 9.59; L7 hkfin must not double-add. · news |
| 0100 | MINIMAX-W | 204.20 | BUY — QUEUED @205.48 | 205.48 | 173.62 | 223.43 (+8.7%) | 236.24 (+15.0%) | 238.13 (+15.9%) | MiniMax turned to STRONG BUY 77 on a lower-band mean reversion, bullish on four straight prints into the close, with the model's 12-week view (238) well above the 205.48 entry. OPS: new entry, config equity 600k x 20% x 71.55% = (lot 100 assumed); NA valuation = gate off; stop 173.62 (-15.5%, 1.9 ATR); -raise/JPM-cut overhang headline undated (S8) - don't chase above 209.72; expires 10-20. · news |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 148.00 | SELL 50% | 148.00 | 155.31⚠ | 148.00 (+0.0%) | 145.96 (-1.4%) | 145.79 (-1.5%) | HSBC closed a ninth session below its 155.31 stop with a negative 12-week view (145.79); it is 38% of the book. OPS: L2 50% trim, lot; residual stop 143.77 (EMA), full exit on a 2nd settled close below it; issued 9 consecutive EODs unexecuted (HK-EOQ-2: no bullish signal). · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 572.00 | SELL 80% | 572.00 | 580.67⚠ | 617.61 (+8.0%) | 675.46 (+18.1%) | 696.44 (+21.8%) | Z.AI closed at 572, below the 580.67 line pre-committed as its sell trigger, with the stock 65% under cost and below every moving average. OPS: T6 numeric re-arm fired;-of- standing thread size; residual stop 480.39 (2 ATR); estimator disagrees (T5, down-weighted). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 54.30 | SELL 85.46% | 54.30 | 57.19⚠ | 54.62 (+0.6%) | 54.87 (+1.0%) | 55.85 (+2.9%) | SMIC re-printed STRONG SELL-REDUCE at the close on a new 20-day low below its 57.19 trigger, and ASML's Q3 revenue miss today weighs on China fab names. OPS: 85.46% x -> lot 500 =; residual 500 stop 49.45 (model, 2 ATR); G2 up-rank only; L7 hksemicon must not double-sell. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 24.68 | HOLD | — | 38.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x Hynix ETF fell another 5.4% to 24.68 on a STRONG SELL-REDUCE 83 breakdown; the leveraged full-exit test is met but it ranks fourth by dollar bleed. OPS: SELL (full exit) first in line; model stop 10.88 refused (HK-12). · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 423.40 | HOLD | — | 420.11 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Tencent held STRONG SELL-REDUCE (66 at the close), 0.8% above its 420.11 stop. OPS: SELL 100 second in line; model stop 402.88. · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 221.80 | HOLD | — | 236.74⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | StanChart's 12-week view slipped back below the close (219.60 vs 221.80) on a ninth session under its stop, re-arming the stop-break exit. OPS: SELL third in line; residual stop 207.30 (EMA). · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 83.05 | HOLD | — | 100.58⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | Hua Hong's sell signal eased to SELL-REDUCE 60, below the 65 floor, but no bullish signal has appeared and the case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 77.34; 10-13 SELL card unexecuted. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 149.10 | HOLD | — | 164.62⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT fell 5.9% but its sell signal settled at 55 and its 12-week view moved above the close, so neither the floor nor the stop-break rule is met; the case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 146.56 (EMA) OR 12wk < close. · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 467.00 | HOLD | — | 458.15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL held AVOID all session and sits 1.9% above its 458.15 trigger. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 458.15; model stop 507.47 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 37.76 | HOLD | — | 36.29 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Link REIT was flat at AVOID 53; the sell case stays open. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 36.29; model stop 38.34 > close refused (P6). · news |
| 1688 | Lingyi iTech | 4.88 | NO ACTION | 4.88 | 4.62 | 5.03 (+3.1%) | 4.94 (+1.2%) | 5.21 (+6.8%) | Lingyi flipped from AVOID 75 to STRONG BUY 78 late in the session, a same-day flip-flop that fails the no-chase bar. OPS: re-arm a 2nd settled STRONG BUY; ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
| 0316 | OOIL | 168.20 | NO ACTION | 166.17 | 153.63 | 172.77 (+4.0%) | 174.35 (+4.9%) | 183.14 (+10.2%) | OOIL printed STRONG BUY 90 on a 20-day breakout but fails the quality screen, which blocks new entries; RSI 73 also argues against chasing. OPS: gate_blocked (P4/Q7); ledgered optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
277 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.