Recommendations
2 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.77 | BUY — QUEUED @3.64 | 3.64 | 3.23 | 4.03 (+10.7%) | 3.81 (+4.7%) | 4.30 (+18.1%) | STRONG BUY 90 ReversalUp_Oversold for 8 sessions; today's +20.6% close-at-high is the reversal confirming, so we queue a no-chase limit 0.25 ATR under the model entry rather than buy the high. Half size (R7). Stop 3.23 (close - 1 ATR; model 2.18 refused, HK-12). P5: fifth consecutive queue - an unfilled expiry demotes to WATCH, no further reprice. · news |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 65.80 | BUY — QUEUED @65.91 | 65.91 | 58.83 | 65.19 (-1.1%) | 66.04 (+0.2%) | 67.99 (+3.2%) | Fresh STRONG BUY 84 20-day breakout on a quality name trading below fair value (MoS +0.13, F-Score 8). First settled print, so HK-1 applies: buy-stop that fills only on a push through 65.91, half size (overrides the 1.25x UNDERVALUED modulator). Withdraw on conv < 65 or an AVOID settle. · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 571.50 | SELL 85.46% | 571.50 | 473.06 | 609.94 (+6.7%) | 645.42 (+12.9%) | 629.25 (+10.1%) | Live STRONG SELL-REDUCE on every print (Sell_Rank 1) in the book's most reliable sell cell; selling the +3.8% bounce, still below the 580.67 stop and -65% vs cost. Residual stop 473.06. Estimator disagrees (P2 slice, down-weighted). · news |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 135.60 | SELL 50% | 135.60 | 127.29 | 137.14 (+1.1%) | 139.91 (+3.2%) | 139.07 (+2.6%) | 18th settled session below the 155.31 stop and 4th close below EMA after a Q3 miss; yesterday's SELL-REDUCE reverted to NO TRADE on a green day, which does not withdraw a sell (HK-EOQ-2). NoTrade|sell is the book's best cell (+8). HK-11 escalated form: if unrecorded again, retire to WATCH (re-arm: settled REDUCE or close < 127.29). Residual stop 127.29. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 387.60 | SELL 50% | 387.60 | 368.18 | 388.87 (+0.3%) | 377.19 (-2.7%) | 385.73 (-0.5%) | Fresh STRONG SELL-REDUCE on all three of today's prints plus the L2 combo (7.7% below the 420.11 stop with a negative 12-week view); fairly valued, so valuation neither amplifies nor argues down. Engine 85% trimmed to one lot (R7). Residual stop 368.18. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 25.42 | HOLD | — | 18.50 | 26.21 | 24.72 | 28.34 | SSR 76 on 14 straight prints but SK hynix printed a record Q3 (OP beat, KRW34tn returns) and the ETF ran +21.9%; news overrides a sell into the print tonight. SELL 900 (2x ETF 50%) on a settled close < 23.40 or any settled SSR after 10-29. Stop raised to 18.50 (close - 2 ATR). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 47.80 | HOLD | — | 41.49 | 48.48 | 49.29 | 55.71 | Settled REDUCE faded to HOLD 71 on a +5.4% bounce; HOLD is not a bullish actionable print so the sell case stays open (HK-EOQ-2). SELL next slot. Stop_after 41.49 (model). · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 70.00 | HOLD | — | 58.33 | 72.33 | 77.57 | 91.76 | HOLD 72, +8.4% bounce, still 30% below the recorded stop. Case open; SELL next slot. Q3 ~11-06. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 118.30 | HOLD | — | 104.01 | 125.52 | 127.66 | 131.38 | HOLD 84 on the Q3 day (C 118.30, -2.4%); rising conviction but not a bullish actionable print. Case open; SELL 500 next slot, retires only on a settled BUY/BUY-ADD. · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 219.80 | HOLD | — | 199.35 | 221.90 | 218.05 | 220.77 | Q3 day +7.6% back above EMA; NT x4, 12wk close so L2 lapsed. SELL re-arm: settled 12wk < close or a REDUCE label. Stop_after raised to 199.35 (2 ATR). · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 346.40 | HOLD | — | 317.13 | 359.12 | 363.57 | 403.95 | HOLD 67 at the settle after SSR intraday; 12wk > close, re-arm (settled REDUCE >= 65 or 12wk < close) not met. Trail raised to 317.13. · news |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 39.08 | HOLD | — | 38.19 | 39.03 | 39.16 | 38.11 | NT; 12wk 38.11 < close so L2 is armed: a settled close below 38.19 triggers a sell. · news |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.92 | HOLD | — | 9.63 | 9.92 | 9.95 | 10.16 | BUY-ADD faded to HOLD 66; buy-stop withdrawn. Stop 9.63 (+3.0% cushion). CCB Q3 ~10-29/30. Re-queue on a settled BUY-ADD >= 65. · news |
| 2318 | Aac Technologies Holdings | 48.38 | NO ACTION | 48.38 | 47.33 | 47.82 (-1.2%) | 47.77 (-1.3%) | 49.15 (+1.6%) | BUY 70 at the settle after AVOID 47 intraday (flip-flop); estimator negative at 1w/4w and the ticker/name mismatch (P8(b)) is unresolved. Re-arm: two settled BUY prints with non-negative estimates. · news |
| 0772 | CHINA LIT | 22.06 | WATCH | 22.06 | 21.69 | 22.07 (+0.0%) | 21.33 (-3.3%) | 20.09 (-8.9%) | BUY 66 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (chase cell -5) with val_adj -10 -> adj 51, below floor; quality gate failed on a new entry and 12wk 20.09 < close (falling knife). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
314 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.640 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.