Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.13 | ADD — QUEUED @10.09 | 10.09 | 9.66 | 10.09 (+0.0%) | 10.20 (+1.1%) | 10.34 (+2.5%) | Fresh STRONG BUY-ADD 90 20-day breakout that strengthened through the session (BA70 -> SB90); the bank screens cheap but its fair value is masked by the known NA_CCY defect. GTC limit at the model entry, below the close, so it only fills on a pullback and cannot chase a Q3 results gap (L6). Half size (HK-1 breakout family). Withdraw on conv < 65 or a REDUCE/AVOID settle. · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 532.00 | SELL 85.46% | 532.00 | 430.25 | 564.55 (+6.1%) | 609.20 (+14.5%) | 617.81 (+16.1%) | Live STRONG SELL-REDUCE settled in the book's best-sampled sell cell, on a -6.9% day, 11th session below the 580.67 stop and -66% vs cost. 700 of the 10-28 800-share sell already done per the broker reconcile; this finishes the cut to a-share residual (stop 430.25, close - 2 ATR; model stop = close is degenerate). Estimator disagrees (P2, down-weighted). · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 338.80 | SELL 85.46% | 338.80 | 317.13 | 342.32 (+1.0%) | 346.87 (+2.4%) | 353.68 (+4.4%) | Settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 67 fires the pre-committed re-arm (REDUCE >= 65) after a Q3 profit miss sent CATL to 15-month lows; RSI 18 and far below EMA200. Engine 85% trimmed to (R7); residual keeps the 317.13 trail. · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 217.20 | SELL 86.2% | 217.20 | 199.35 | 218.53 (+0.6%) | 214.54 (-1.2%) | 216.82 (-0.2%) | Stop-break plus negative 12-week view (L2): 8.3% below the 236.74 stop and the 12-week projection slipped under the close, the pre-committed re-arm from 10-28 (T6). NoTrade|sell is the book's best cell (+8). Thin 12wk margin (0.17%). Residual 48-share odd lot, stop 199.35. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 377.60 | HOLD | — | 368.18 | 375.42 | 369.87 | 378.61 | Settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 65, 10% below the 420.11 stop; 12wk close. Bleed rank 4 behind 2888, so SELL next slot. Stop_after 368.18. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 25.62 | HOLD | — | 18.50 | 26.52 | 24.86 | 28.43 | SSR 77 on 15 straight prints; the post-SK-hynix bounce stalled (H 27.66 -> C 25.62), so the 10-28 re-arm is met. SELL 1,000 (2x ETF 50%) next slot. Stop 18.50. |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 69.20 | HOLD | — | 63.61 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Newly reconciled-share odd lot (~HK); settled SSR 65. SELL next slot. Stop 63.61 (model). |
| 0981 | SMIC | 44.96 | HOLD | — | 41.49 | 46.13 | 47.46 | 53.64 | HOLD 71; -5.9% to 44.96, 21% below the 57.19 stop. Case open (HK-EOQ-2). SELL 1,000 next slot. Stop_after 41.49. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 64.60 | HOLD | — | 58.33 | 67.12 | 72.28 | 79.53 | HOLD 61; -7.7% to 64.60, 36% below the 100.58 stop. Case open; SELL 1,000 next slot. Q3 ~11-06. Stop_after 58.33. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 113.20 | HOLD | — | 104.01 | 120.00 | 122.60 | 127.39 | HOLD 62 (SR 70 at 15:30); -4.3% to 113.20. Case open; SELL 500 next slot. Stop_after 104.01. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 135.50 | HOLD | — | 127.29 | 137.26 | 139.34 | 139.71 | HK-11 escalated SELL 6,000 went unrecorded again (the broker reconcile raised to), so it is retired to WATCH per the pre-committed rule. Re-arm: a settled REDUCE label OR a settled close < 127.29. P1 still disables a PROFIT_ARMED + NT-tick profit-take. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.28 | WATCH | — | — | 3.54 | 3.57 | 4.12 | BUY 84 at market 3.28 after a key-reversal bar; P5 demotion. Re-arm: settled BUY >= 65 AND settled close >= 3.77, or a BUY-ANTICIPATE buy-stop. |
| 0316 | OOIL | 153.30 | HOLD | — | 144.95 | 151.50 | 154.05 | 159.79 | Newly reconciled; HOLD 42. Stop 144.95 (model, -5.4%). |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 98.55 | HOLD | — | 93.35 | 99.49 | 100.13 | 109.65 | Newly reconciled (broker cost 0.23 looks like a distribution basis); AVOID 50. Stop 93.35 (close - 2 ATR; model 103.75 > close is degenerate). |
| 0857 | PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS | 10.24 | NO ACTION | 10.24 | 9.98 | 10.28 (+0.4%) | 10.27 (+0.3%) | 10.20 (-0.4%) | BUY 77 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (chase cell -5) on its first settled print with 12wk 10.20 below the close: a falling-knife entry under book note B. Re-arm: a second settled BUY with 12wk > close. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
318 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.613 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.