Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.26 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @10.29 lapsed — closed 10.26 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. Second settled STRONG BUY-ADD on a 20-day breakout in a cheap-screening bank whose fair value is masked by the known NA_CCY defect. Buy-stop at the live model entry, half size (HK-1). CCB Q3 lands after the 10-30 close, so VOID if the 11-02 open is above 10.44 (L6/L8, no gap-chase). Withdraw on conv < 65 or a REDUCE/AVOID settle. · news |
| 0857 | PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS | 10.82 | BUY — QUEUED @10.51 | 10.51 | 9.52 | 10.84 (+3.1%) | 11.04 (+5.0%) | 10.90 (+3.7%) | Settled STRONG BUY 87 and Buy_Rank 1 on a 20-day breakout, undervalued (MoS +0.25) and passing the quality screen, after Q3 profit rose 21.6% on higher oil prices. The name closed +5.7% and extended, so this is a limit at the model entry, not a chase (L6). Half size (HK-1); the 10-29 re-arm (second settled BUY with 12wk > close) is met. Withdraw on conv < 65. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 42.98 | SELL 85.46% | 42.98 | 41.49 | 45.26 (+5.3%) | 46.03 (+7.1%) | 51.87 (+20.7%) | HOLD 71 turned into a settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 83 (Sell_Rank 1) on a 20-day breakdown, closing near the 52-week low, 25% below the recorded stop and priced far beyond fair value, with Q3 due as early as 11-05. Engine 85% rounded down to (R7, lot 500); residual 500 stop 41.49. Market order: the printed 43.45 limit is within reach of the close-ref but risks another unfilled exit (L3). Estimator disagrees (T5, down-weighted). · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 221.60 | SELL 85.46% | 221.60 | 203.39 | 221.75 (+0.1%) | 218.15 (-1.6%) | 224.24 (+1.2%) | The stop-break sell from 10-29 now carries a live STRONG SELL-REDUCE 73 in the book's best-sampled sell cell, 6.4% below the recorded 236.74 stop. The record Q3 and raised guidance were priced by the +7.6% on 10-28 and did not hold the breakout. Second session for this card; 10-29 SELL was not recorded. Residual 48-share odd lot, stop 203.39. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 22.40 | SELL 50% | 22.40 | 18.50 | 23.70 (+5.8%) | 22.43 (+0.1%) | 25.29 (+12.9%) | The SK hynix bounce failed: -12.6% to 22.40 on the settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE after Samsung's miss hit memory names, firing the pre-committed re-arm (any settled SSR after 10-29). 2x ETF rule: trim 50%, not the engine 85%, as the full-exit test is not met. Residual stop 18.50 (model 22.39 = close is degenerate). · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 483.60 | HOLD | — | 430.25 | 531.58 | 567.84 | 570.95 | SSR 55 + 3 = 58, below the 65 floor, so no new card. The 10-29 SELL is unrecorded and stands: no bullish signal (HK-EOQ-2). -9.1% to 483.60. Stop_after 430.25. · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 338.80 | HOLD | — | 317.13 | 334.63 | 344.31 | 343.68 | SSR 67 eased to AVOID 64 with Portion 0; flat close, no bullish signal, so the unrecorded 10-29 SELL stands (HK-EOQ-2). Model stop 378.22 > close is degenerate; keep 317.13. |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 383.60 | HOLD | — | 368.18 | 383.43 | 375.33 | 381.20 | SSR flipped to HOLD 71 at the settle; HOLD is not a bullish actionable print. L2 stays live: 12wk 381.20 < close 383.60, 8.7% below 420.11. SELL next slot. Stop_after 368.18. |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 71.60 | HOLD | — | 65.35 | 71.78 | 71.75 | 73.40 | SSR 76 (Sell_Rank 2) but only (~HK): bleed rank last. SELL next slot. Stop raised to model 65.35. |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 100.40 | HOLD | — | 95.02 | 101.09 | 101.65 | 111.91 | SSR 76 (Sell_Rank 3) on (~HK): SELL next slot (lot 50, UNDERVALUED argues for the minimum). Stop raised to model 95.02. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 60.70 | HOLD | — | 58.33 | 63.24 | 68.89 | 75.59 | HOLD 70, not a bullish actionable print; -6.0% to 60.70, 40% below the 100.58 stop. Case open; SELL next slot, Q3 ~11-05 after close (horizon trim-into). Stop_after 58.33. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 105.00 | HOLD | — | 104.01 | 111.68 | 115.02 | 123.31 | Settled SELL-REDUCE 60 + 2 = 62, below the 65 floor, so no new card. -7.2% to 105.00; low 103.00 traded through 104.01. SELL 500 next slot; a settled close < 104.01 makes it a market exit card. Stop_after 104.01. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 135.70 | HOLD | — | 127.29 | 137.16 | 139.91 | 138.83 | Retired 10-29 (HK-11). Re-arm not met: NO TRADE, close 135.70 > 127.29. Re-arm: a settled REDUCE label OR a settled close < 127.29. |
| 0316 | OOIL | 158.80 | HOLD | — | 149.04 | 157.42 | 160.03 | 167.54 | HOLD 76; stop raised to model 149.04. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 2.98 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | WATCH 62, close 2.98. Re-arm unmet: settled BUY >= 65 AND settled close >= 3.77, or a BUY-ANTICIPATE buy-stop. |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 39.82 | NO ACTION | 39.76 | 37.83 | 39.89 (+0.3%) | 39.91 (+0.4%) | 39.29 (-1.2%) | STRONG BUY 85 on its first settled print (WATCH 44 at 14:00) with 12wk 39.29 below the close: not buyable under book note B and HK-1. Quality gate now passes. Re-arm: a second settled BUY with 12wk > close. |
| 1688 | Lingyi iTech | 5.06 | WATCH | 5.06 | 4.15 | 5.12 (+1.2%) | 5.14 (+1.6%) | 5.27 (+4.2%) | BUY 81 ReversalUp_Oversold, adj 76, blocked on a new entry by the quality gate (F-Score 4). Target_Price 5.08 is +0.4% against a -18% stop. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
325 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.613 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.