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HK End-of-Day Verdict 30 Oct 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-10-30 (hk)

Recommendations

1 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
0939CCB - H SHS10.26WATCH — queued order lapsed——n/an/an/aQueued buy @10.29 lapsed — closed 10.26 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. Second settled STRONG BUY-ADD on a 20-day breakout in a cheap-screening bank whose fair value is masked by the known NA_CCY defect. Buy-stop at the live model entry, half size (HK-1). CCB Q3 lands after the 10-30 close, so VOID if the 11-02 open is above 10.44 (L6/L8, no gap-chase). Withdraw on conv < 65 or a REDUCE/AVOID settle. · news
0857PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS10.82BUY — QUEUED @10.5110.519.5210.84 (+3.1%)11.04 (+5.0%)10.90 (+3.7%)Settled STRONG BUY 87 and Buy_Rank 1 on a 20-day breakout, undervalued (MoS +0.25) and passing the quality screen, after Q3 profit rose 21.6% on higher oil prices. The name closed +5.7% and extended, so this is a limit at the model entry, not a chase (L6). Half size (HK-1); the 10-29 re-arm (second settled BUY with 12wk > close) is met. Withdraw on conv < 65. · news
0981SMIC42.98SELL 85.46%42.9841.4945.26 (+5.3%)46.03 (+7.1%)51.87 (+20.7%)HOLD 71 turned into a settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 83 (Sell_Rank 1) on a 20-day breakdown, closing near the 52-week low, 25% below the recorded stop and priced far beyond fair value, with Q3 due as early as 11-05. Engine 85% rounded down to (R7, lot 500); residual 500 stop 41.49. Market order: the printed 43.45 limit is within reach of the close-ref but risks another unfilled exit (L3). Estimator disagrees (T5, down-weighted). · news
2888STANCHART221.60SELL 85.46%221.60203.39221.75 (+0.1%)218.15 (-1.6%)224.24 (+1.2%)The stop-break sell from 10-29 now carries a live STRONG SELL-REDUCE 73 in the book's best-sampled sell cell, 6.4% below the recorded 236.74 stop. The record Q3 and raised guidance were priced by the +7.6% on 10-28 and did not hold the breakout. Second session for this card; 10-29 SELL was not recorded. Residual 48-share odd lot, stop 203.39. · news
7709XL2CSOPHYNIX22.40SELL 50%22.4018.5023.70 (+5.8%)22.43 (+0.1%)25.29 (+12.9%)The SK hynix bounce failed: -12.6% to 22.40 on the settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE after Samsung's miss hit memory names, firing the pre-committed re-arm (any settled SSR after 10-29). 2x ETF rule: trim 50%, not the engine 85%, as the full-exit test is not met. Residual stop 18.50 (model 22.39 = close is degenerate). · news
2513KNOWLEDGE ATLAS483.60HOLD—430.25531.58567.84570.95SSR 55 + 3 = 58, below the 65 floor, so no new card. The 10-29 SELL is unrecorded and stands: no bullish signal (HK-EOQ-2). -9.1% to 483.60. Stop_after 430.25. · news
3750CATL338.80HOLD—317.13334.63344.31343.68SSR 67 eased to AVOID 64 with Portion 0; flat close, no bullish signal, so the unrecorded 10-29 SELL stands (HK-EOQ-2). Model stop 378.22 > close is degenerate; keep 317.13.
0700TENCENT383.60HOLD—368.18383.43375.33381.20SSR flipped to HOLD 71 at the settle; HOLD is not a bullish actionable print. L2 stays live: 12wk 381.20 < close 383.60, 8.7% below 420.11. SELL next slot. Stop_after 368.18.
3690MEITUAN-W71.60HOLD—65.3571.7871.7573.40SSR 76 (Sell_Rank 2) but only (~HK): bleed rank last. SELL next slot. Stop raised to model 65.35.
9618JD-SW100.40HOLD—95.02101.09101.65111.91SSR 76 (Sell_Rank 3) on (~HK): SELL next slot (lot 50, UNDERVALUED argues for the minimum). Stop raised to model 95.02.
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor60.70HOLD—58.3363.2468.8975.59HOLD 70, not a bullish actionable print; -6.0% to 60.70, 40% below the 100.58 stop. Case open; SELL next slot, Q3 ~11-05 after close (horizon trim-into). Stop_after 58.33.
0522ASMPT105.00HOLD—104.01111.68115.02123.31Settled SELL-REDUCE 60 + 2 = 62, below the 65 floor, so no new card. -7.2% to 105.00; low 103.00 traded through 104.01. SELL 500 next slot; a settled close < 104.01 makes it a market exit card. Stop_after 104.01.
0005HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS135.70HOLD—127.29137.16139.91138.83Retired 10-29 (HK-11). Re-arm not met: NO TRADE, close 135.70 > 127.29. Re-arm: a settled REDUCE label OR a settled close < 127.29.
0316OOIL158.80HOLD—149.04157.42160.03167.54HOLD 76; stop raised to model 149.04.
0068MANYCORE TECH2.98WATCH——n/an/an/aWATCH 62, close 2.98. Re-arm unmet: settled BUY >= 65 AND settled close >= 3.77, or a BUY-ANTICIPATE buy-stop.
0823LINK REIT39.82NO ACTION39.7637.8339.89 (+0.3%)39.91 (+0.4%)39.29 (-1.2%)STRONG BUY 85 on its first settled print (WATCH 44 at 14:00) with 12wk 39.29 below the close: not buyable under book note B and HK-1. Quality gate now passes. Re-arm: a second settled BUY with 12wk > close.
1688Lingyi iTech5.06WATCH5.064.155.12 (+1.2%)5.14 (+1.6%)5.27 (+4.2%)BUY 81 ReversalUp_Oversold, adj 76, blocked on a new entry by the quality gate (F-Score 4). Target_Price 5.08 is +0.4% against a -18% stop.

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

325 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.613 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.