Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0857 | PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS | 10.81 | BUY — QUEUED @10.94 | 10.94 | 9.88 | 10.83 (-1.0%) | 10.97 (+0.3%) | 10.81 (-1.2%) | Third straight settled buy print on a 20-day breakout in an undervalued name that passes the quality screen, the only such name in the buy pool. The buy-stop needs a reclaim of the model entry after today's rejection from 11.29, so it cannot chase. OPS: repriced from the unfilled 10.51 limit (low 10.75). 12wk 10.81 equals the close and sits 1.2% below the trigger; estimator down-weighted (T5), half size kept (HK-1). Withdraw on conv < 65. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 392.20 | SELL 85.46% | 392.20 | 369.92 | 390.38 (-0.5%) | 381.16 (-2.8%) | 383.88 (-2.1%) | Tencent's bounce was sold back into a settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 76, Sell_Rank 1, in the book's best-sampled sell cell, with the close 6.6% below the recorded stop and a 12-week view under the close. Fair value is neutral, so it neither helps nor hurts. OPS: 85.46% x = (R7, lot). L2 live. Residual stop 369.92. · news |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 101.60 | SELL 85.46% | 101.60 | 96.45 | 102.13 (+0.5%) | 102.83 (+1.2%) | 112.06 (+10.3%) | JD holds a settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 73 in the same sell cell, with Q3 likely around 11-12 and an ordinary earnings move worth more than two ATRs. It screens cheap, so the trim stays at the minimum. OPS: 85.46% x = (lot 50); residual 33 odd lot, stop 96.45. · news |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 73.05 | SELL 85.46% | 73.05 | 66.71 | 73.21 (+0.2%) | 73.25 (+0.3%) | 74.78 (+2.4%) | Meituan holds a settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 76, Sell_Rank 2, on a small odd-lot position, and the engine targets a full exit. Fair value is not available. OPS: whole-share odd lot; lowest dollar bleed of the three cards. Stop raised to model 66.71 until sold. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 43.62 | HOLD | — | 41.49 | 44.80 | 46.39 | 51.47 | SSR 83 faded to HOLD 71 in one session. HOLD is not a bullish actionable print, so the unrecorded 10-30 SELL 2,000 stands (HK-EOQ-2). Q3 listed 11-12 (trim-into, low confidence). Model stop 39.70 not taken; stop_after stays 41.49. |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 217.20 | HOLD | — | 203.39 | 218.06 | 215.59 | 218.42 | SSR 73 went to NO TRADE twice, with 12wk 218.42 back above the close, so the L2 leg lapsed. No bullish signal, so the unrecorded 10-30 SELL stands (HK-EOQ-2), repriced to 217.20 after the -2.1% open gap. |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 480.40 | HOLD | — | 431.66 | 523.07 | 562.48 | 567.61 | SSR 55 + 3 = 58, below the 65 floor, so no new card. The 10-29 SELL is unrecorded and stands (HK-EOQ-2). Stop_after raised to model 431.66. · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 359.40 | HOLD | — | 317.22 | 357.68 | 359.00 | 382.90 | Close +6.1% to 359.40 on HOLD 71, 12wk 382.90 above the close. HOLD is not a bullish actionable print, so the unrecorded 10-29 SELL stands (HK-EOQ-2). Stop raised to model 317.22. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 62.50 | HOLD | — | 58.33 | 64.94 | 72.10 | 77.33 | HOLD 71, not a bullish actionable print; the 10-20 SELL 1,000 stands unrecorded (HK-EOQ-2) and is due before Q3 (11-05 after close, aggregator date). Un-slotted behind live REDUCE signals; a settled REDUCE >= 65 or close < 58.33 makes it a market card. Model stop 55.01 not taken. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 107.70 | HOLD | — | 104.01 | 114.59 | 117.26 | 125.19 | SR 60 went to HOLD 71 on a +2.6% close at 107.70; low 102.50 traded through 104.01 but no settled close below it, so the exit rule did not fire. SELL 500 case stays open. Model stop 93.06 not taken. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 133.70 | HOLD | — | 127.29 | 135.65 | 137.51 | 135.58 | Retired 10-29 (HK-11). Re-arm not met: settled HOLD 61, close 133.70 > 127.29. The 10:30 SSR 35 was intraday (L4). Re-arm: a settled REDUCE label OR a settled close < 127.29. Allow ~0.6% for the 11-05 ex-date. |
| 0316 | OOIL | 159.60 | HOLD | — | 150.27 | 158.37 | 161.14 | 168.60 | HOLD 86; stop raised to model 150.27. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.14 | HOLD | — | 9.87 | 10.08 | 10.22 | 10.33 | First settled NO TRADE after SB-ADD 85; rejected from 10.52 to 10.14 after Q3. 12wk 10.33 above the close, no sell basis. Near-stop: +2.7% vs 9.87. · news |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.10 | NO ACTION | 3.10 | — | 3.30 (+6.5%) | 3.43 (+10.6%) | 3.90 (+25.8%) | BUY 71, first settled print, but the pre-committed re-arm needs a settled close >= 3.77 and the close is 3.10 (T6). Stop 2.38 is 23% below the close. |
| 1810 | XIAOMI CORP-W | 28.10 | NO ACTION | 28.07 | 24.79 | 27.90 (-0.6%) | 27.54 (-1.9%) | 27.20 (-3.1%) | STRONG BUY 84 on its first settled print (+6.1%, WATCH 57 at 10:30) with 12wk 27.20 below the close 28.10: not buyable under book note B and HK-1. Re-arm: a second settled BUY with 12wk > close. |
| 0772 | CHINA LIT | 24.68 | WATCH | 24.15 | 20.14 | 24.90 (+3.1%) | 25.22 (+4.4%) | 23.31 (-3.5%) | STRONG BUY 100, Buy_Rank 1, blocked on a new entry by the quality gate. Also +15.5% on the day, extended past the 24.15 entry (ED -0.33), with 12wk 23.31 below the close. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
330 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.613 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.