Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0857 | PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS | 10.72 | BUY — QUEUED @10.72 | 10.72 | 10.18 | 10.71 (-0.1%) | 10.88 (+1.5%) | 10.73 (+0.1%) | PetroChina printed a second settled buy (BUY 67) after its low tested the model stop and recovered, and it is the only undervalued, quality-passing name in the buy pool. The order is a limit at the live entry, so it does not chase. OPS: repriced from the untriggered 10.94 stop (H 10.74) per provenance; family now FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (bias -5) offset by val_adj +5 -> adj 67; half size (HK-1); 70.59% x 600k x 20% x 0.5 = (lot 2,000). Withdraw on a settled print < 65. · news |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 397.20 | SELL 85.46% | 397.20 | 375.06 | 392.92 (-1.1%) | 383.68 (-3.4%) | 388.37 (-2.2%) | Tencent settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 76 again, Sell_Rank 1, in the book's best-sampled sell cell, below both its 50- and-day averages with a 12-week view under the close. Fair value is neutral. OPS: HK-11 escalation (second slotted issue, unrecorded since 11-02); 85.46% x = (R7, lot); L2 live; residual stop 375.06. Retire to WATCH if unrecorded at next EOD. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 101.70 | SELL 49.87% | 101.70 | 93.05 | 106.64 (+4.9%) | 110.61 (+8.8%) | 121.36 (+19.3%) | ASMPT broke the pre-committed 104.01 line with a settled close of 101.70 on a fresh 20-day breakdown (SELL-REDUCE 70, Sell_Rank 2), down 48% on cost and far below its long averages. Valuation is rich but not extreme, so it does not change the size. OPS: T6 numeric re-arm honoured; 49.87% x = (lot); estimator +19% 12wk disagrees (T5/P2, down-weighted); residual 600 stop 93.05 (close - 1 ATR). · news |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 107.30 | SELL 85.46% | 107.30 | 100.74 | 108.86 (+1.5%) | 110.41 (+2.9%) | 115.00 (+7.2%) | JD re-printed STRONG SELL-REDUCE 66 at the settle on a +5.6% bounce, in the same reliable sell cell, ahead of Q3 around 11-13. It screens cheap, so the trim stays at the minimum. OPS: HK-11 escalation (second issue); 85.46% x = (lot 50); residual 33 odd lot stop 100.74. · news |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 74.35 | HOLD | 74.35 | 66.71 | 74.30 (-0.1%) | 74.41 (+0.1%) | 76.65 (+3.1%) | AVOID 63 after SSR 76; not a bullish signal (HK-EOQ-2), so the unrecorded 11-02 SELL stands but is not slotted (Portion 0). |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 59.35 | HOLD | 59.35 | 58.33 | 61.72 (+4.0%) | 68.55 (+15.5%) | 74.37 (+25.3%) | 10-20 SELL 1,000 stands; use before the 11-05 Q3 close. Settled REDUCE >= 65 or settled close < 58.33 makes it a market card. |
| 0981 | SMIC | 42.62 | HOLD | 42.62 | 41.49 | 44.01 (+3.3%) | 45.77 (+7.4%) | 50.57 (+18.7%) | 10-30 SELL 2,000 stands. Settled close < 41.49 makes it a market card. |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 442.00 | HOLD | 442.00 | 431.66 | 485.16 (+9.8%) | 521.12 (+17.9%) | 545.20 (+23.3%) | 10-29 SELL stands; NT x4 (Consensus conflict + low conviction). Settled close < 431.66 makes it a market card. |
| 3750 | CATL | 361.00 | HOLD | 361.00 | 317.22 | 354.21 (-1.9%) | 355.91 (-1.4%) | 383.45 (+6.2%) | 10-29 SELL stands. HOLD 71. |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 213.40 | HOLD | 213.40 | 203.39 | 212.77 (-0.3%) | 211.82 (-0.7%) | 213.32 (-0.0%) | 10-30 SELL stands. AV 61 x4; 12wk close, L2 not decisive. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.11 | HOLD | 10.11 | 9.87 | 10.07 (-0.4%) | 10.20 (+0.9%) | 10.29 (+1.8%) | NT x5; PROFIT_ARMED tick (d) blocked by P1. Stop 9.87 (tested intraday). Re-arm: settled BUY-ADD >= 65 with 12wk > close. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 134.10 | HOLD | 134.10 | 127.29 | 135.66 (+1.2%) | 137.89 (+2.8%) | 136.25 (+1.6%) | RETIRED to WATCH. Re-arm: settled REDUCE label or settled close < 127.29. Ex-date 11-05 (~0.6%). |
| 0316 | OOIL | 155.90 | HOLD | 155.90 | 150.27 | 154.96 (-0.6%) | 156.67 (+0.5%) | 169.80 (+8.9%) | NT x4; PROFIT_ARMED tick (d) blocked by P1 (cost outlier). Trail 150.27. |
| 1810 | XIAOMI CORP-W | 28.60 | WATCH | 28.72 | 25.69 | 28.54 (-0.6%) | 28.18 (-1.9%) | 27.54 (-4.1%) | Near-miss: BUY 64, adj 63 below the 65 floor; 12wk 27.54 < close. Re-arm: settled BUY >= 65 with 12wk > close. |
| 0772 | CHINA LIT | 23.80 | WATCH | 22.51 | 20.76 | 23.77 (+5.6%) | 24.40 (+8.4%) | 22.48 (-0.1%) | Quality gate failed (gate_blocked); BUY 56 adj below the floor. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
335 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.