Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 68.70 | SELL 33.3% | 68.70 | 62.68 | 74.30 (+8.2%) | 78.97 (+14.9%) | 84.98 (+23.7%) | Sell into the bounce: Hua Hong closed +15.8% but settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 79 (Sell_Rank 1, FailedBreakout_Down_20D, the book's best sell cell), deep below EMA50/EMA200, and the valuation is far beyond any anchor (MoS -9.35); Q3 results print after the 11-05 close. Pre-committed 11-03 re-arm (settled REDUCE >= 65) met -> market card (T6). Size held at the standing (R7 downward deviation; MoS tier bump to 100% noted, not applied). Residual 2,000 stop 62.68 (close - 1.0 ATR). · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 484.20 | SELL 66.7% | 484.20 | 431.66 | 528.29 (+9.1%) | 563.00 (+16.3%) | 589.75 (+21.8%) | Sell into the bounce: Knowledge Atlas rallied +9.5% but re-settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 76 (Sell_Rank 5) after four NO TRADE prints, still ~32% below EMA50 at -69.5% unrealized. Executes the standing 10-29 SELL at market; residual stop 431.66. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 112.60 | SELL 45.5% | 112.60 | 103.32 | 118.58 (+5.3%) | 120.99 (+7.5%) | 137.77 (+22.4%) | Sell into the bounce: ASMPT closed +10.7% but the settled label hardened to STRONG SELL-REDUCE 76 (Sell_Rank 3) after the 11-03 stop break; price remains far below EMA50/EMA200. Second issue of the 11-03 SELL (HK-11 escalation; the last issue). Residual 600 stop raised to 103.32 (close - 1.0 ATR). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 46.44 | HOLD | 46.44 | 41.49 | 47.09 (+1.4%) | 49.75 (+7.1%) | 55.43 (+19.4%) | Settled SSR 77 (Sell_Rank 2) on a +9.0% day; slot-limited (bleed HK ranks 4th). Standing 10-30 SELL 2,000 is open and first in line next EOD. Stop_after 41.49. |
| 3750 | CATL | 377.00 | HOLD | 377.00 | 335.16 | 367.05 (-2.6%) | 371.96 (-1.3%) | 399.89 (+6.1%) | Settled SSR 76 (Sell_Rank 6); slot-limited. Standing 10-29 SELL open. Stop 335.16 (model). |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 401.60 | HOLD | 401.60 | 379.65 | 398.63 (-0.7%) | 387.79 (-3.4%) | 390.46 (-2.8%) | SSR 76 again (Sell_Rank 4). HK-11: already escalated 11-03, no third issue; case stays OPEN (signal not decayed, amended HK-11 / HK-EOQ-2). Stop_after 379.65 (model). |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 106.50 | HOLD | 106.50 | 100.74 | 106.98 (+0.5%) | 108.72 (+2.1%) | 114.56 (+7.6%) | RETIRED to WATCH (HK-11): escalated 11-03, unrecorded, signal decayed to AVOID 53 Portion 0. Re-arm: settled REDUCE >= 65 or settled close < 100.74. |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 219.40 | HOLD | 219.40 | 203.39 | 218.81 (-0.3%) | 218.24 (-0.5%) | 222.68 (+1.5%) | NO TRADE x4 at settle; not a bullish signal, so the 10-30 SELL stands (HK-EOQ-2). Stop_after 203.39. |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 75.20 | HOLD | 75.20 | 66.71 | 74.93 (-0.4%) | 75.16 (-0.1%) | 77.59 (+3.2%) | AVOID -> NO TRADE; 11-02 SELL stands, not slotted. Stop 66.71. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 136.40 | HOLD | 136.40 | 127.29 | 138.23 (+1.3%) | 139.37 (+2.2%) | 139.68 (+2.4%) | RETIRED WATCH. NT x3 at settle; PROFIT_ARMED tick (d) blocked by P1. Re-arm: settled REDUCE or settled close < 127.29. Ex-date 11-05 (~0.6%). |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.25 | HOLD | 10.25 | 9.87 | 10.25 (+0.0%) | 10.36 (+1.1%) | 10.38 (+1.3%) | HOLD 76 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (no buy label). Trail 9.87. |
| 0316 | OOIL | 161.80 | HOLD | 161.80 | 150.61 | 161.52 (-0.2%) | 165.80 (+2.5%) | 171.38 (+5.9%) | HOLD 73; trail raised to model 150.61. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 2.98 | WATCH | 2.98 | 2.06 | 3.18 (+6.7%) | 3.33 (+11.7%) | 3.76 (+26.2%) | Near-miss: BUY 71 ReversalUp_Oversold (Buy_Rank 1, adj 75) but only one settled buy print and the re-arm close >= 3.77 is unmet (close 2.98). P5 WATCH holds. |
| 1810 | XIAOMI CORP-W | 28.76 | WATCH | 28.76 | 26.16 | 28.65 (-0.4%) | 28.11 (-2.3%) | 27.94 (-2.9%) | Near-miss: BUY 64, adj 64 (val -1, bias +1) below the 65 floor; 12wk 27.94 < close 28.76 (HK-1 chase). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
339 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.613 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.