Recommendations
3 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 141.10 | SELL 48% | 141.10 | 133.60 | 142.50 (+1.0%) | 143.09 (+1.4%) | 145.77 (+3.3%) | HSBC has printed a stable STRONG SELL-REDUCE 86 on every snapshot today, below both its 50- and-day averages, so the model wants size cut on the book's largest position. The retired-WATCH re-arm (settled REDUCE) fired (T6); sized (~48%, lot 400, R7). Valuation NA_CCY is a known defect (HK-EOQ-5), no amplify. Residual 7,028 on stop 133.60. Reprice on a >1.5% gap. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 47.50 | SELL 80% | 47.50 | 44.39 | 48.61 (+2.3%) | 50.73 (+6.8%) | 55.22 (+16.3%) | SMIC re-settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 76 on all five prints, deep below its 50/-day averages, and fair value says growth is already priced in (MoS -3.32). The 11-04 pre-commit (first slot if it re-settles a REDUCE) fired; standing 10-30 card size (lot 500), tier bump noted not applied. Residual 500 on stop 44.39. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 67.30 | SELL 33% | 67.30 | 61.47 | 72.89 (+8.3%) | 79.19 (+17.7%) | 84.23 (+25.2%) | Hua Hong held a STRONG SELL-REDUCE all session and is the most richly valued name in the book (MoS -9.35); the 11-04 sell missed a -5.5% gap, so the de-risk is re-issued (2nd issue). Q3 prints after the 11-05 close, so the 11-06 open is post-event: reprice on the gap. Residual on stop 61.47. · news |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 80.30 | ADD — QUEUED @78.76 | 78.76 | 71.43 | 80.99 (+2.8%) | 83.11 (+5.5%) | 84.96 (+7.9%) | Meituan built five straight bullish prints into a settled STRONG BUY-ADD 86 breakout above its 50-day average; queued at the model entry rather than chasing the close. Odd-lot residual, so sized on new-BUY 70.29% x 600k x 20% -> (lot). Standing SELL withdrawn. Stop 71.43; Target_Price 97.28. · news |
| 0388 | HKEX | 394.60 | BUY — QUEUED @385.99 | 385.99 | 366.78 | 399.34 (+3.5%) | 399.02 (+3.4%) | 385.99 (+0.0%) | HKEX printed four consecutive STRONG BUY 86 breakout reads on a broad risk-on day; valuation is modestly rich (MoS -0.78, -4) but quality passes. Extended 1.1 ATR past entry, so a GTC limit at the model entry 385.99 fills only on a pullback. 12wk estimate is flat at the fill (flagged); edge is the 4wk 424.41 target vs a 5% stop. · news |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 113.90 | ADD — QUEUED @109.89 | 109.89 | 101.45 | 115.61 (+5.2%) | 117.07 (+6.5%) | 120.99 (+10.1%) | JD settled a fresh BUY-ADD 72 breakout and reclaimed its-day average, and it is one of the few undervalued quality names in the book (MoS +0.31, x1.25 size). Queued at the model entry 109.89; odd-lot residual so sized on new-BUY -> (lot 50). Expires before the ~11-13 Q3 print; do not re-queue into it (L6). Stop 101.45. · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 476.00 | HOLD | 476.00 | 431.66 | 518.89 (+9.0%) | 555.69 (+16.7%) | 568.03 (+19.3%) | SSR 67 Sell_Rank 4; escalated 11-04 (missed -3.4% gap at the 11-05 open) - not re-issued (HK-11), case open while the signal holds. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 101.00 | HOLD | 101.00 | 90.77 | 107.06 (+6.0%) | 110.69 (+9.6%) | 124.85 (+23.6%) | RETIRED to WATCH: new bullish HOLD 90 ReversalUp_Oversold (HK-EOQ-2) and the 11-04 issue was its last (HK-11). Re-arm = settled REDUCE >= 65 OR settled close < 90.77. |
| 3750 | CATL | 394.60 | HOLD | 394.60 | 335.16 | 389.09 (-1.4%) | 395.64 (+0.3%) | 420.11 (+6.5%) | Decayed SSR 76 -> AVOID 63 (still bearish) - standing SELL stays open, not slotted. Stop 335.16. |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 430.40 | HOLD | 430.40 | 379.65 | 430.57 (+0.0%) | 423.60 (-1.6%) | 414.63 (-3.7%) | AVOID 43 after +7.2% on the Hunyuan AI launch; back above the 420.11 stop. Standing SELL open (no re-issue). Stop_after 379.65; Q3 11-18. · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 227.80 | HOLD | 227.80 | 203.39 | 228.04 (+0.1%) | 226.98 (-0.4%) | 232.55 (+2.1%) | AVOID 63; standing 10-30 SELL open. Stop_after 203.39. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.48 | HOLD | 10.54 | 9.87 | 10.49 (-0.5%) | 10.53 (-0.1%) | 10.60 (+0.6%) | Near-miss add: SBA 90 MomentumContinuation_Up but cell -10 (0/5, HK-1), 12wk 10.60 only +1.1%, one settled print. Re-arm: 2nd settled BUY-ADD >= 65 with RSI < 72 and 12wk > close +3%. Stop 9.87. |
| 0316 | OOIL | 156.20 | HOLD | 156.20 | 150.61 | 155.68 (-0.3%) | 157.85 (+1.1%) | 164.99 (+5.6%) | NT x5 (Consensus conflict + low conviction); trail 150.61 (near-stop +3.7%). |
| 0941 | CHINA MOBILE | 81.30 | WATCH | 81.92 | 79.01 | 82.75 (+1.0%) | 83.00 (+1.3%) | 77.63 (-5.2%) | Near-miss: BUY 72 adj 76 but Quality_Pass False blocks a new entry; 12wk 77.63 < close 81.30. |
| 0772 | CHINA LIT | 24.88 | WATCH | 22.87 | 21.19 | 24.91 (+8.9%) | 25.69 (+12.3%) | 23.76 (+3.9%) | Near-miss: SB 82 PullbackBuy_VWAP adj 66; Quality_Pass False blocks a new entry. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 2.88 | WATCH | 2.88 | 2.39 | 3.14 (+9.0%) | 3.20 (+11.1%) | 3.58 (+24.3%) | Near-miss: BUY 70 OversoldBounce_Up; P5 re-arm close >= 3.77 unmet (2.88) and quality screen failed. |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 65.70 | WATCH | 65.70 | 63.85 | 64.85 (-1.3%) | 65.35 (-0.5%) | 67.40 (+2.6%) | Near-miss: WA 63 (one B70 print at 15:30) below the 65 floor. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
344 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.640 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.