Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 70.20 | SELL 33.3% | 70.20 | 63.24 | 74.58 (+6.2%) | 78.26 (+11.5%) | 85.08 (+21.2%) | Hua Hong printed STRONG SELL-REDUCE on every print today, after Q3. It bounced from a 61.50 post-results open to a 70.20 close, which is the sell-the-bounce the FailedBreakout_Down cell rewards; valuation is the deepest negative MoS in the book. Third consecutive issue (11-04, 11-05, 11-06) = HK-11 escalation, FINAL: if unexecuted, retire to WATCH (re-arm: settled REDUCE >= 65 OR settled close < 63.24). Engine Stop_Price 70.19 == close is degenerate (P6); residual on 63.24 (close - 1 ATR). MoS <= -3 tier bump noted, not applied (R7). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 45.58 | SELL 80% | 45.58 | 42.47 | 46.77 (+2.6%) | 49.32 (+8.2%) | 56.33 (+23.6%) | SMIC is still STRONG SELL-REDUCE, settled on all six prints, and below EMA50/EMA at -46% unrealized. The 11-05 SELL was not recorded at the 11-06 open (O 44.44 vs the 47.50 ref). Second consecutive issue, so a third issue escalates per HK-11. The estimator's positive 12wk disagrees (T5/P2), so it is down-weighted. Engine stop == close is degenerate (P6); residual on 42.47. Q3 ~11-13. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 93.90 | SELL 45.5% | 96.10 | 83.50 | 100.94 (+5.0%) | 102.67 (+6.8%) | 117.20 (+22.0%) | ASMPT's WATCH re-arm fired: it settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 81 BreakdownDown_20D (Sell_Rank 1) after HOLD 90 on 11-05. RSI is 27, it is -52% vs cost, and it sits far below EMA50/EMA200. Engine order is a sell limit at 96.10 (+2.3% vs close; the 11-06 high was 96.40), so sell the bounce rather than a gapping open. per the prior card size (R7). Residual 600 on 83.50 (close - 1 ATR). |
| 0857 | PETROCHINA CO LTD H SHS | 10.38 | BUY — QUEUED @10.38 | 10.38 | 10.19 | 10.39 (+0.1%) | 10.51 (+1.3%) | 10.40 (+0.2%) | PetroChina settled BUY 66 on three consecutive prints (NT -> WA 63 x2 -> B 66 x3). It is UNDERVALUED with quality passing, the close is above VWAP and EMA50/EMA200, and RSI is 55. The tight 1.8% stop to 10.19 defines the risk. Marginal: the FailedBreakdown_Up cell is -5 (hit.25) and the estimator 12wk is flat (+0.2%). It clears the 65 floor by 1 pt, so it is a limit at the printed entry only. No chase, never up-sized (HK-1, size x1.0 instead of x1.25). Board lot 2,000. Target 11.34. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 137.50 | HOLD | — | 133.60 | n/a | n/a | n/a | SSR 86 on 11-05 decayed to NO TRADE x5 ("Consensus conflict + low conviction"). That is not a bullish signal, so the 11-05 SELL 6,400 is NOT withdrawn (HK-EOQ-2). It stands, not re-issued. Unrecorded at the 11-06 open (O 137.20 vs the 141.10 ref). Re-slot on a settled REDUCE >= 65 OR a settled close < 133.60. L2 not met: 12wk 140.99 > close. |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 426.20 | HOLD | — | 431.66⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | SSR 67 -> NT x5. Escalated 11-04, so no re-issue (HK-11); the case stays open. Close 426.20 is now BELOW the 431.66 residual stop (-1.3%). 12wk 522.61 > close, so L2 is not met. Re-slot on a settled REDUCE >= 65 OR a settled close < 400 (close - 0.5 ATR). |
| 3750 | CATL | 380.00 | HOLD | — | 335.16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 53 (bearish, decayed). The standing SELL is carried. Stop 335.16. |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 419.80 | HOLD | — | 405.20 | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 53. Close 419.80 sits 0.07% under the 420.11 stop: not decisive. 12wk 406.59 < close, so watch L2: a decisive settled close < 405.20 (close - 1 ATR) with a negative 12wk makes the SELL a slotted card. Q3 11-18 (no pre-trim, direction test T3). |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 217.00 | HOLD | — | 203.39 | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 52. The standing SELL is carried. Stop 203.39. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.53 | HOLD | — | 10.02 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD 75 x5 after SBA 90 (AnticipationUp_VCP, buy-stop 10.58). RSI 70.6. The stop is raised 9.87 -> 10.02 (model). PROFIT_ARMED is ignored (P1). The add re-arm is unmet. |
| 0316 | OOIL | 152.20 | HOLD | — | 150.61 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD 37-50. Near-stop: close 152.20 vs trail 150.61 (+1.1%). |
| 1810 | XIAOMI CORP-W | 30.38 | WATCH | 27.59 | 25.90 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Near-miss: SB 76 x3 faded to a settled B 57. The PullbackBuy_VWAP cell is -6, ED -1.86 is extended, and 12wk 28.13 < close. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 2.58 | WATCH | 2.58 | 2.04 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Near-miss: BUY 70 OversoldBounce_Up (Buy_Rank 1). The quality gate fails (new entry), the P5 re-arm (close >= 3.77) is unmet at 2.575, and RSI 25 makes it a falling knife. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
347 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.665 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.