Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0981 | SMIC | 46.04 | SELL 80% | 46.04 | 43.22 | 46.33 (+0.6%) | 49.12 (+6.7%) | 53.68 (+16.6%) | SMIC has printed a strong-sell on every scan for three sessions and conviction is rising, while the stock trades far below its 50- and-day averages and well above any fundamental anchor; cut 80% before the 11-12 Q3 print. HK-11 escalation, final issue (11-05/11-06/11-09 unexecuted); if unexecuted retire to WATCH, re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 or close < 43.22. MoS<=-3 tier bump noted, not applied (R7). Residual 500 stop 43.22. · news |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 433.80 | SELL 66.7% | 433.80 | 400.00 | 470.45 (+8.4%) | 506.26 (+16.7%) | 527.52 (+21.6%) | Knowledge Atlas re-printed a strong-sell at the close after four AVOID prints, still ~36% below its 50-day average in a persistent downtrend; the pre-committed re-arm (settled REDUCE >= 65) fired, so the standing-share sell is re-slotted. T6 re-arm honoured; HK-EOQ-2 case never withdrawn. Residual stop 400. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 71.85 | HOLD | — | 63.24 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HK-11: 11-06 was the final escalation, unexecuted; signal decayed SSR 79 -> AVOID 57-63 x6, so the card retires to WATCH. SELL 1,000 not withdrawn (HK-EOQ-2). Re-arm: settled REDUCE >= 65 OR settled close < 63.24. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 92.60 | HOLD | — | 83.50 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 11-06 GTC sell @96.10 carries to its 11-11 expiry (not re-issued). AV 49, not bullish -> not withdrawn (HK-EOQ-2). H 96.55 traded intraday, unrecorded. After expiry: WATCH, re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 83.50. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 137.30 | HOLD | — | 133.60 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Standing SELL 6,400 (AV 64 FailedBreakout_Down_20D, one point under re-slot). Re-slot on settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 133.60. |
| 0316 | OOIL | 146.50 | HOLD | — | 150.61⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | Stop breach 146.50 vs trail 150.61 (-2.7%, 0.64 ATR) is not decisive: 12wk 150.84 > close (L2 unmet), single NO TRADE, PROFIT_ARMED ignored (P1). Re-arm: second consecutive settled close < 150.61 OR close < 144.11 -> SELL market. |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 418.40 | HOLD | — | 405.20 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Standing SELL (AV 50). L2 watch: settled close < 405.20 (12wk 404.11 < close) slots the card. Q3 11-18, no pre-trim (T3). |
| 3750 | CATL | 369.80 | HOLD | — | 335.16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Standing SELL (AV 50). Stop 335.16. |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 219.80 | HOLD | — | 203.39 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Standing SELL (NT x6). Stop 203.39. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.59 | HOLD | — | 10.09 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD 75 AnticipationUp_VCP, RSI 71.8. Stop raised 10.02 -> 10.09 (model). PROFIT_ARMED ignored (P1). |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 75.15 | HOLD | — | 71.43 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Odd-lot residual HOLD 54. |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 112.30 | HOLD | — | 106.95 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Odd-lot residual HOLD; NT x6. Avg_Cost junk (P1). |
| 0941 | CHINA MOBILE | 81.25 | WATCH | 81.25 | 80.85 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Near-miss: BUY 75 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (Buy_Rank 1), adj 71, blocked by the quality gate (F-Score 3). Also flip-flopped SB -> WA 64 -> B 75 inside the session and 12wk 78.61 < close. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 2.78 | WATCH | 2.78 | 2.21 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Near-miss: BUY 71 OversoldBounce_Up after five AVOID prints (unstable); RSI 28.8; P5 re-arm (close >= 3.77) unmet. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
352 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.665 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.