Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 482.00 | SELL 66.67% | 482.00 | 400.00 | 520.02 (+7.9%) | 539.56 (+11.9%) | 568.82 (+18.0%) | Strong-sell signal strengthened to conviction 76 on every print today; the +11% bounce sits far below the 50- and-day averages, so sell into strength. Valuation blind. 2nd issue since the 11-09 re-arm; HK-EOQ-2 (green day is not a withdrawal case). Residual stop 400. |
| 0981 | SMIC | 47.24 | SELL 80% | 47.24 | 43.22 | 48.31 (+2.3%) | 50.29 (+6.5%) | 54.39 (+15.1%) | Stable strong-sell downtrend (conviction -> 76) below both long averages, with the shares priced well above intrinsic value; exit before the 11-12 Q3 print. Pre-committed re-arm (settled REDUCE >= 65) fired; amended HK-11 bars retirement without signal decay (T6). MoS <= -3 tier bump noted, not applied (R7). Residual stop 43.22. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 96.20 | SELL 45.45% | 96.20 | 83.50 | 100.20 (+4.2%) | 105.05 (+9.2%) | 118.98 (+23.7%) | Fresh settled strong-sell, the book's #1 sell rank, deep below the 50- and-day averages and priced above intrinsic value. Re-arm (settled REDUCE >= 65) fired; supersedes the unfilled GTC sell @96.10. Residual 600 stop 83.50. |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 66.65 | BUY — QUEUED @67.57 | 67.57 | 60.41 | 66.45 (-1.7%) | 67.25 (-0.5%) | 68.16 (+0.9%) | Fresh strong-buy breakout setup after reclaiming the 50- and-day averages, on a quality-passing, modestly undervalued name; the buy-stop only fills if price confirms above 67.57. No up-size on a breakout family (HK-1); sized off stale default_equity 600k (S6). Target_Price 81.89; estimator flat (T5). · news |
| 0316 | OOIL | 145.80 | NO ACTION | 145.80 | 144.11 | 145.45 (-0.2%) | 146.92 (+0.8%) | 149.94 (+2.8%) | Price re-arm fired (2nd consecutive settled close < 150.61) but ranks 4th by dollar bleed under the 3-dispose cap. Slots first on 11-11 if settled close < 150.61, or any close < 144.11. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS | 143.30 | HOLD | — | 133.60 | n/a | n/a | n/a | NT x6; re-slot on settled REDUCE >= 65 or close < 133.60. PROFIT_ARMED ignored (P1). |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 417.80 | HOLD | — | 405.20 | n/a | n/a | n/a | HOLD 59; L2 watch settled close < 405.20; Q3 11-18. |
| 3750 | CATL | 378.00 | HOLD | — | 335.16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | AV 57 x6; standing sell. |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 231.00 | HOLD | — | 203.39 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Intraday SSR 66 x3 settled AV 0 (L4); standing sell. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 74.55 | HOLD | — | 63.24 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Retired WATCH; re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 or close < 63.24 unmet (AV 63, C 74.55). |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.64 | HOLD | — | 10.21 | n/a | n/a | n/a | H 80, RSI 72.9; stop raised 10.09 -> 10.21 (model). |
| 3690 | MEITUAN-W | 75.50 | HOLD | — | 71.43 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Odd-lot residual HOLD. |
| 9618 | JD-SW | 112.10 | HOLD | — | 106.95 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Odd-lot residual HOLD; JD results ~11-13. Avg_Cost junk (P1). |
| 0772 | CHINA LIT | 25.44 | WATCH | 23.47 | 21.82 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Near-miss: SB x6 (Buy_Rank 1) blocked by the quality gate; also extended (ED -1.35) and 12wk 24.22 < close. |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 40.82 | WATCH | 40.82 | 40.38 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Near-miss: single B 66 print after NT x6; below floor; quality gate; 12wk < close. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
355 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.665 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.