Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 153.30 | NO ACTION | 152.68 | 146.22 | 156.56 (+2.5%) | 165.61 (+8.5%) | 170.39 (+11.6%) | BUY cv54 BreakoutUp_52W Buy_Rank #1, but below the 65 adj-conviction floor and a weak, extended 52W-breakout chase (close 153.3, RSI 68.0, EDist -0.25 past entry). Whipsawed cv90(07-04)->AVOID(07-06)->cv54(07-07) - unstable. L1/P2: discount BreakoutUp_52W chases; overlay says no new leverage into the 07-08 FOMC print. NOT TAKEN; ledgered none/optional so the counterfactual grades what not-chasing saved/cost. Re-arm only on cv>=65 + non-extended entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. · news |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 226.20 | NO ACTION | 223.61 | 212.47 | 230.29 (+3.0%) | 245.88 (+10.0%) | 271.62 (+21.5%) | BUY cv54 BreakoutUp_52W Buy_Rank #2, below the 65 floor and extended (close 226.2, RSI 70.6, EDist -0.60 past entry). Conviction degrading cv74(07-04)->55(07-06)->54(07-07). L1/P2: no-chase discount on 52W-breakout overshoot; overlay no-new-leverage into 07-08. NOT TAKEN; ledgered none/optional for counterfactual grading. Re-arm on cv>=65 + non-extended entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0. · news |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 6.62 | NO ACTION | 6.62 | 6.62 | n/a | n/a | 5.20 (-21.5%) | Flipped STRONG BUY cv69 (07-06) -> AVOID FailedBreakout_Down_20D cv59 (07-07); RSI 29.6 deeply oversold, inverted 12wk (Target_12Week 5.20 vs Close 6.62 = -21%). Falling knife, now not even in the buy pool. Book-note B / PROPOSED-P2: negative/inverted-12wk oversold buys are not buyable. Rejected; re-arm only on a positive non-inverted 12wk + queued pullback limit. Ledgered none/optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.