Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 151.90 | NO ACTION | 151.90 | 150.30 | 153.54 (+1.1%) | 157.36 (+3.6%) | 168.73 (+11.1%) | Degraded from BUY cv54 (07-07) to WATCH cv46 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (07-08) - conviction collapsed a 2nd session (cv90-> and the name is no longer in the buy pool. L1: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D is the weakest buy cell (~0.25 hit, ~60% stop-first) - exactly the chase to avoid; overlay says no new leverage into the 07-08 FOMC print. NOT TAKEN; ledgered none/optional so the counterfactual grades what not-chasing saved/cost. Re-arm only on a fresh actionable BUY at cv>=65 + non-extended entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. 1wk via f=0.30 (L5, calib degenerate). · news |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 221.00 | NO ACTION | 221.00 | 219.00 | 223.94 (+1.3%) | 230.81 (+4.4%) | 264.61 (+19.7%) | Degraded from BUY cv54 (07-07) to WATCH cv50 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (07-08); conviction decay cv74->->50 across four sessions, no longer in the buy pool. L1 no-chase discount on faded breakouts; overlay no-new-leverage into 07-08 FOMC. NOT TAKEN; ledgered none/optional for counterfactual grading. Re-arm on cv>=65 + actionable buy + non-extended entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0. 1wk via f=0.30 (L5). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.