Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 152.30 | NO ACTION | 152.30 | 149.80 | 152.37 (+0.0%) | 153.23 (+0.6%) | 148.32 (-2.6%) | WATCH cv57 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D — not in the buy pool (WATCH is not an actionable BUY) and below the 65 adj-conviction floor; 12wk view inverted (Est_12W 148.3 < Close 152.3). Conviction wobbled cv90(07-04)->54(07-07)->46(07-08)->57(07-09) without re-clearing an actionable BUY. L1: FailedBreakdown_Up_20D is the weakest buy cell (~0.25 hit, ~60% stop-first) — the chase to avoid; overlay de-risk-into-07-14-CPI reinforces standing pat. NOT TAKEN; ledgered none/optional so the counterfactual grades what not-chasing saved/cost. Re-arm only on a fresh actionable BUY at cv>=65 + non-extended + positive-12wk entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. Estimates from ADR-0013 Est_ columns; 1wk fallback f=0.30 (L5) not needed. · news |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 221.40 | NO ACTION | 221.40 | 214.20 | 221.88 (+0.2%) | 221.69 (+0.1%) | 219.91 (-0.7%) | WATCH cv57 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D — not in the buy pool, below the 65 floor; 12wk inverted (Est_12W 219.9 < Close 221.4). Conviction decay cv74->-> across five sessions, never re-clearing an actionable BUY. L1 no-chase discount on faded breakouts; overlay de-risk into 07-14 CPI. NOT TAKEN; ledgered none/optional for counterfactual grading. Re-arm on cv>=65 + actionable buy + non-extended + positive-12wk entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0. Estimates from ADR-0013 Est_ columns. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.