Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 153.50 | BUY-STOP | 154.66 | 146.84 | 153.96 (-0.5%) | 154.70 (+0.0%) | 152.31 (-1.5%) | 0005 HSBC flipped from a decayed WATCH FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (cv46->57, 07-08/09) to a fresh BUY - ANTICIPATE cv76 AnticipationUp_VCP today - the book's first constructive, actionable-family print since inception, a volatility-contraction breakout anticipation (buy-stop 154.66, stop 146.84, target 170.3). NOT TAKEN: anticipate slot needs BUY-ANTICIPATE in >=2 of the last 3 snapshots; this is (07-08 WATCH, 07-09 WATCH, 07-10 ANTICIPATE), so the slot is not yet eligible. Held per L4 (don't front-run a one-session flip) + overlay de-risk-into-07-14-CPI. Cautions on re-arm: 12wk Est marginally inverted (152.31 < close 153.5, book-note B/P2) and RSI 66.3 warming. RE-ARM: a 2nd BUY-ANTICIPATE print at cv>=55 -> queue GTC buy-stop @ printed Entry_Price at 0.5x normal new-BUY (QUEUED-ANTICIPATE). NA_CCY -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. Estimates from ADR-0013 Est_ columns; 1wk fallback f=0.30 (L5) not needed. Ledgered none/optional so the counterfactual grades what not-queueing saved/cost. · news |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 222.00 | NO ACTION | 222.00 | 220.00 | 221.48 (-0.2%) | 219.82 (-1.0%) | 222.33 (+0.1%) | WATCH cv54 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D - not in the buy pool (WATCH is not an actionable BUY), below the 65 floor; 12wk ~flat (Est_12W 222.33 vs close 222.0). Conviction slipped back cv57(07-09)->54(07-10); never re-cleared an actionable BUY. L1 no-chase discount on faded breakouts; overlay de-risk into 07-14 CPI. NOT TAKEN; ledgered none/optional for counterfactual grading. Re-arm on cv>=65 + actionable buy + non-extended + positive-12wk entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0. Estimates from ADR-0013 Est_ columns. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.184 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.