Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 153.80 | NO ACTION | 153.91 | 156.65 | 153.23 (-0.4%) | 154.49 (+0.4%) | 152.38 (-1.0%) | 0005 HSBC's 07-10 BUY - ANTICIPATE cv76 AnticipationUp_VCP (book's first constructive print since inception) flipped back to AVOID MeanRevDown_UpperBand cv70 today - the anticipate slot never armed (07-10 was; today AVOID means it cannot reach >=). Read is now mean-reversion-DOWN at the upper band: trend pillar still 91 but momentum decayed to 41, RSI 66.9, close 153.8 pressing 52W high 154.6, 12wk Est 152.38 still marginally inverted. The 07-10 re-arm trigger correctly did NOT fire - waiting one session per L4 + de-risk-into-07-14-CPI overlay avoided front-running a one-print flip that reversed. Bearish/long-only -> not openable. Re-arm only on a fresh actionable-buy family print at cv>=55 with a non-inverted 12wk. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0, gate off. Ledgered none/optional so the counterfactual grades what not-chasing saved/cost. · news |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 220.00 | NO ACTION | 220.00 | 218.45 | 219.64 (-0.2%) | 219.10 (-0.4%) | 213.91 (-2.8%) | 2888 STANCHART faded further: WATCH FailedBreakdown_Up_20D cv57-> across 07-09/10/13, now below the 65 floor and off the buy pool; 12wk Est 213.91 inverted vs close 220.0 (-2.8%). Not openable (below floor, inverted 12wk, weak FailedBreakdown chase per L1). Re-arm on cv>=65 + actionable buy family + non-inverted 12wk + non-extended entry. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0. Ledgered none/optional for counterfactual grading. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.184 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.