Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 152.60 | NO ACTION | 152.60 | 151.30 | n/a | n/a | 151.68 (-0.6%) | Off buy pool near-miss: HSBC decayed to WATCH FailedBreakdown_Up_20D cv46, below the 65 floor, with an inverted 12wk (Est_12W 151.68 < close 152.6). The 07-10 AnticipationUp_VCP cv76 never armed ( prints) and has fully faded. L1 discount on FailedBreakdown chases; re-arm only on a fresh actionable-buy family print at cv>=55 with a non-inverted 12wk. Counterfactual: priced to grade what not-queueing this fading name costs/saves. |
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 220.00 | NO ACTION | 220.00 | 217.20 | n/a | n/a | 216.60 (-1.5%) | Off buy pool near-miss: StanChart holds WATCH FailedBreakdown_Up_20D cv46, below the 65 floor, with an inverted 12wk (Est_12W 216.6 < close 220.0). Weak FailedBreakdown chase family (L1 discount); not openable long-only. Re-arm on cv>=65 + actionable buy family + non-inverted 12wk + non-extended entry. Counterfactual: priced to grade the no-chase stance. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.184 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.