Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 155.30 | NO ACTION | 155.24 | 148.20 | 153.24 (-1.3%) | 155.94 (+0.5%) | 155.02 (-0.1%) | Fresh BUY BreakoutUp_52W cv74 at-entry (Buy_Rank 1, RSI 67.7) clears the numeric floor but its own forward model is dead: Est_1W 153.24 sits BELOW the 155.24 entry and Est_12W/Target_12Week 155.02 is inverted -0.18% vs close 155.30. Carried re-arm trigger requires a NON-inverted 12wk -> gate unmet, not opened. Breakout family discounted per L1. Re-arm only on a non-extended actionable buy (cv>=65) with a non-inverted 12wk (Est_12W ~+1% vs close). |
| 0388 | HKEX | 393.40 | NO ACTION | 376.35 | 368.46 | 394.71 (+4.9%) | 395.19 (+5.0%) | 390.18 (+3.7%) | Fresh BUY PullbackBuy_VWAP cv72 (Buy_Rank 2) but hard-blocked by the quality gate (Quality_Pass=False) for a new entry, and deeply extended (close 393.40 vs entry 376.35 = -2.22 ATR). OVERVALUED_VS_RI MoS -1.0 -> val_adj -5 (adj_conv 67). Re-arm on a quality-pass turn or a non-extended pullback fill near 376.35. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.184 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.