Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2888 | Standard Chartered | 226.80 | BUY — QUEUED @228.63 | 228.63 | 214.98 | 226.85 (-0.8%) | 225.15 (-1.5%) | 228.87 (+0.1%) | Standard Chartered breaks to a fresh 52-week high on rising conviction (WATCH cv64 -> STRONG BUY cv90, Buy_Rank 1, RSI 66.9) — the first clean actionable buy the book has printed since inception, and it fires every leg of the 07-15 re-arm we set for it: cv>=65, actionable buy family, NON-inverted 12wk (Est_12W/Target_12Week 228.87 = +0.9% vs close 226.80), non-extended entry (buy-stop +0.34 ATR). Queued as a buy-stop at 228.63 so it fills only if the breakout confirms above the 226.80 close — self-limiting, no chase. Valuation blind (NA_CCY cross-currency -> val_adj 0, quality gate off); news neutral (constructive wealth-pivot strategy, no fresh catalyst). Sized 0.904 Portion x 2.0M x 20% buy_pct = 361.6k -> ( of 50) ~HK, ~17.7% of book; chandelier trail stop 214.98 (~6% risk). Execute next open 2026-07-17 (L8); reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. CAUTION: the model's own Est_1W 226.85 and Est_4W 225.15 sit BELOW the entry (low-quality-entry flag, carried 07-15) — mitigated by the stop-entry design and cv90; watch once filled. Target_Price 255.94 is a stretch breakout objective far above Est_4W. · news |
| 0005 | HSBC Holdings | 156.90 | NO ACTION | 156.56 | 148.62 | 154.70 (-1.2%) | 157.48 (+0.6%) | 157.11 (+0.4%) | Flipped to BUY - ANTICIPATE AnticipationUp_VCP cv79 (RSI 70.4 warming). Feeds the anticipate slot, not the <=3 ACQUIRE — but fails the >=2/3-print eligibility gate (WATCH->BUY->ANTICIPATE = only 1 of the last 3 snapshots). Est_1W 154.70 sits below the 156.56 entry (dead 1wk view); Est_12W 157.11 = +0.13% vs close (barely non-inverted). Near-miss. Re-arm on >=2/3 ANTICIPATE prints at cv>=55 with Est_1W >= entry and a non-inverted 12wk. |
| 0388 | HKEX | 396.20 | NO ACTION | 376.65 | 369.07 | 397.92 (+5.6%) | 397.66 (+5.6%) | 392.54 (+4.2%) | Fresh BUY PullbackBuy_VWAP cv72 (Buy_Rank 2, the favored L1 family) but hard-blocked by the quality gate (Quality_Pass=False) for a new entry, and deeply extended (close 396.20 vs entry 376.65 = -2.65 ATR). OVERVALUED_VS_RI MoS -1.0 -> val_adj -5 (adj_conv 67). Near-miss. Re-arm on a quality-pass turn (Q=True) OR a non-extended pullback fill near 376.65. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.184 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.