Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2888 | STANCHART | 224.00 | HOLD | — | 214.98 | 225.43 | 226.72 | 227.63 | Held Standard Chartered continues its primary uptrend (close 224.0 well above EMA200 185.7); the pullback off 226.6 is not a breakdown and the wealth-growth strategy shows no adverse catalyst, so we hold. PROFIT_ARMED plus fire ticks (conviction -22; dead-12wk T12 227.63<1.02xclose) SUPPRESSED as an underwater T12-progress artifact (Gain_ATR -0.76, unrealised -2.03%) per HF-2/HF-6 - cannot bank a profit on a -2% line. No legit exit leg: no SELL label, close 224 >> stop 214.98 (1.47 ATR cushion) and >> EMA200, L2 stop-break+neg-12wk fires on neither. Stop held 214.98 (do not loosen to scan's 211.74; no profit to trail). Est 1/4/12wk 225.43/226.72/227.63. · news |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 8.78 | BUY-STOP | 8.76 | 8.21 | 8.75 (-0.1%) | 8.74 (-0.2%) | 8.57 (-2.2%) | CCB printed a 2nd consecutive BUY-ANTICIPATE (cv74->79) and cleared the anticipate gate, but we withheld the buy-stop: the 12-week model view is inverted (target 8.57 below the 8.78 close, -2.4%) and the 1-week estimate 8.75 sits below the 8.76 entry - a falling-knife-with-timing that HF-3/HF-4 gate out. Logged direction:none/optional so the counterfactual grader prices what not queuing costs. Re-arm on a 2nd consecutive ANTICIPATE with NON-inverted 12wk AND Est_1W >= entry. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.184 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.