Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2888 | STANCHART | 226.60 | HOLD | — | 214.98 | 227.49 | 229.27 | 236.71 | Hold the core financials line: conviction is rising three sessions running ->72) on a stable FailedBreakdown_Up_20D reclaim, the 12wk view flipped back positive (Target_12Week 236.71 > close 226.60, no longer inverted), and price is well clear of the stop. No exit leg fires. PROFIT_ARMED prints via T12_Progress 95.73% but Gain_ATR -0.35 (position still -0.89% vs cost 228.63) => profit-take unavailable on a loss, an inversion/underwater artifact (HF-2); HF-6 holds a recovering breakout when no SELL label, no other Exit_Warning, stop intact (1.98 ATR cushion). Stop unchanged 214.98 (no profit to protect). · news |
| — | Bank of China | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Rejected the day's only actionable buy despite adj-conviction 72 clearing the 65 floor: the shape is a falling knife. Target_12Week 5.28 sits BELOW close 5.31 (inverted 12wk) and Est_1W 5.30 < entry 5.31 (low-quality-entry signature) -- HF-3 says do not buy inverted/neg-12wk HK-financials falling knives even at cv>=69, and HF-4 says an Est_1W<Entry contradicts the conviction layer; FailedBreakdown_Up_20D is exactly the stop-first cell L1/HF-3 discount (every filled hkfin buy in that family graded stop-first). Fresh single-print BUY off AVOID/WATCH/WATCH -- unstable. Re-arm only on a pullback with a non-inverted 12wk and Est_1W>=entry. |
| — | CCB - H SHS | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Anticipate-slot candidate but ineligible: BUY - ANTICIPATE printed only 1 of the last 3 snapshots (07-21 WATCH, 07-22 WATCH, 07-23 ANTICIPATE) -- fails the >=2/3 gate. Also inverted 12wk (Target_12Week 8.44 < close 8.74, Est_12W 8.44) which HF-3 extends to the anticipate slot. Re-arm if a second consecutive ANTICIPATE print lands with a non-inverted 12wk. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.184 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.