Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.14 | WATCH | 8.22 | 7.97 | 8.09 (-1.6%) | 8.15 (-0.9%) | 8.17 (-0.6%) | BoCom broke out to a 52-week high and the engine wants to add, but the model's own 1-, 4- and 12-week estimates all sit below the HKbuy-stop, so paying up for the breakout has no forecast payoff; we keep the position and wait. OPERATIONAL: STRONG BUY - ADD cv84 Buy_Rank 1, single ADD print after HOLD 56 (HF-P55 single print). HF-4 LARGE: Est_1W 8.09 vs Entry 8.22 = -1.58% / 0.77 ATR -> withhold -> WATCH re-arm (same disposition as the 09-16 -1.34% read); Est_12W 8.17 below entry. L1 discounts breakout chase. Re-arm counter stays 0: needs 2 consecutive ADD settled-close prints with Est_1W >= Entry x 0.9975. Armed (T12 99.63, 12wk 8.17 > close) but no fire tick today (RSI_DIV cleared, conv +28) -> stop held 7.97 (chandelier 7.80, model 7.88). · news |
| 2388 | BOC Hong Kong Holdings | 52.05 | WATCH | 52.05 | 51.65 | 52.27 (+0.4%) | 52.59 (+1.0%) | 51.68 (-0.7%) | BOC Hong Kong printed a first buy signal, but it fails the quality screen (F-Score 4) and is priced above its residual-income value, so the book does not open a new position. OPERATIONAL: BUY cv66 Buy_Rank 2, first print after WATCH 51. Quality Gate (hard, new entries) blocks; val_adj would be -1 (MoS -0.28) -> adj 65 at the floor anyway. L1 discounts FailedBreakdown chase; Est_12W 51.68 < close 52.05 (inside HF-P49 0.97 band). · news |
| 2318 | Ping An Insurance | 53.20 | HOLD 3,500 | 53.20 | 51.84 | 53.42 (+0.4%) | 52.55 (-1.2%) | 54.58 (+2.6%) | Ping An filled today at HKand closed higher at 53.20; the scan's single bearish print came from a run that had not yet seen the purchase, and one flip after one session is not a sell case with the stop 1.4 ATR below and a positive 12-week view. OPERATIONAL: scan/executor race again (scan 17:00:19, fill booked 17:00:26) -> Held=N, printed AVOID cv72 FailedBreakout_Down_20D instead of a held label. HF-P55 oscillation (AVOID 33 -> STRONG BUY 85 -> AVOID 72 in 2 sessions) = single print; HF-6 fresh-fill hold (no SELL label, not armed, stop intact, Est_12W 54.58 > close). Pre-commits: 2nd consecutive bearish print cv>=65 at the 09-21 EOD -> SELL market; settled close < 51.84 -> SELL market. · news |
| 2318 | Ping An Insurance | 53.20 | NO ACTION | 53.20 | 51.84 | 53.42 (+0.4%) | 52.55 (-1.2%) | 54.58 (+2.6%) | What-if only: a half-tier trim on the single bearish flip print, recorded so the grader can price whether holding the fresh fill was right. OPERATIONAL: HF-P55 lower tier 50% = 1,750 -> lot 500 tie -> round down (HF-P25, no risk leg) = 1,500. Not executed. · news |
| 1299 | AIA Group | 76.75 | HOLD 1,400 | 76.75 | 75.75 | 76.57 (-0.2%) | 77.43 (+0.9%) | 82.16 (+7.0%) | AIA completed its target size today at HKand closed at 76.75, just above the blended cost; the engine went neutral for a session but the 12-week view is still the book's best (+7%), so we hold on the HKstop. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (1 print; tick (d) needs 2). PROFIT_ARMED is a T12-ratio artifact (T12 93.42 = close/Target_12Week; blended cost 76.636 -> Gain_ATR +0.07, progress-from-cost ~2%) -> suppressed per HF-P24 spirit (flat-12wk 1-session-old case); tick (b) therefore not a profit-take (no profit); NoTrade|sell cell 0/5. Scan position cols stale (@76.10). Pre-commit: settled close < 75.75 -> SELL market (50%, 700 tie -> up on risk leg). · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 245.00 | HOLD 600 | 245.00 | 236.73 | 242.67 (-1.0%) | 241.90 (-1.3%) | 238.95 (-2.5%) | Standard Chartered firmed to HKwith conviction back up to 72, so the position rides with the stop and the pre-set partial sale unchanged. OPERATIONAL: PROFIT_ARMED suppressed (12wk 238.95 inverted 1.06 ATR, Gain_ATR 2.86). Stop HELD 236.73 (chandelier/model 233.56), cushion 1.44 ATR. Pre-commit carried: settled close < 236.73 with 12wk negative -> SELL market. · news |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 51.20 | HOLD 1,500 | 51.20 | 50.88 | 51.08 (-0.2%) | 50.90 (-0.6%) | 50.28 (-1.8%) | China Merchants Bank is holding just above its stop, so it stays on with a pre-set partial sale if a close breaks HK. OPERATIONAL: HOLD cv50, close 51.20, low 50.90 held the stop; cushion only 0.31 ATR. PROFIT_ARMED suppressed (12wk 50.28 inverted 0.89 ATR). Pre-commit carried: settled close < 50.88 with 12wk negative -> SELL market. · news |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.59 | HOLD 2,000 | 9.59 | 9.46 | 9.59 (+0.0%) | 9.58 (-0.1%) | 9.51 (-0.8%) | CCB eased to HKbut remains about 4% in profit with no sell signal, so we keep holding with the stop unchanged. OPERATIONAL: HOLD cv60. PROFIT_ARMED suppressed (12wk 9.51 inverted 0.40 ATR, Gain_ATR 1.97). Stop HELD 9.46 (model 9.13), cushion 0.66 ATR. Pre-commit carried: close < 9.46 -> SELL market. · news |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 5.99 | HOLD 4,000 | 5.99 | 5.83 | 5.98 (-0.1%) | 5.91 (-1.3%) | 5.97 (-0.3%) | Bank of China is still the book's best holding at about +10% and nothing has weakened, so it rides behind the profit-protecting stop. OPERATIONAL: genuine PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 4.54), no fire tick (conv; tick (c) 0.015 below 0.5 ATR materiality) -> trail. Stop HELD 5.83 (chandelier 5.745, model 5.63), cushion 1.29 ATR. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
51 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
5.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.