Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 1299 | AIA Group | 75.35 | SELL 57.14% | 75.35 | 74.05 | 75.43 (+0.1%) | 76.32 (+1.3%) | 78.54 (+4.2%) | AIA settled at 75.35, below its 75.75 stop, on a second consecutive NO TRADE print, and it is now under its 200-day average (77.59). That fires the risk-leg trim written the day before. Cutting steps the book out of a name whose signal has gone indeterminate. OPERATIONAL: the 09-22 pre-commit (settled close < 75.75 -> SELL 800, HF-P25 risk leg) is executed as written (HF-P22). It subsumes the 2nd-NT pre-commit (SELL 400); the larger is taken, the two are not summed. The break is marginal (-0.53%, -0.23 ATR), but HF-P22 retired the 'decisive' qualifier. Est_12W 78.54 is above the close, so this is a pre-commit basis, not strict L2. The NoTrade|sell cell (0/5, bias -10) is not applied (HF-P63). Remaining: stop 74.05 (09-21 printed level, below the 74.20 day low); a settled close < 74.05 -> SELL 600. Reprice if the open gaps >1.5% (summit 09-24). · news |
| 2318 | Ping An Insurance | 53.40 | HOLD 1,000 | 53.40 | 52.04 | 53.55 (+0.3%) | 52.55 (-1.6%) | 54.38 (+1.8%) | Ping An's second trim filled at 53.85. Today's AVOID print came at conviction 54, below the 65 bar the next ladder step requires, so the remaining is held on the 52.04 stop. OPERATIONAL: 4th bearish print cv54 < 65, so the pre-commit is not fired. The printed Stop_Price 55.27 sits above the close (an AVOID artifact) and is ignored; 52.04 is held, cushion 1.45 ATR. Pre-commits: a 5th bearish print cv>=65 -> SELL; a settled close < 52.04 -> SELL 500. · news |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 240.00 | HOLD 600 | 240.00 | 236.73 | 238.64 (-0.6%) | 238.16 (-0.8%) | 233.20 (-2.8%) | StanChart recovered to 240 on HOLD 57 (conviction up from 51), keeping it above its 236.73 stop. No exit case. OPERATIONAL: cushion 0.53 ATR; the arm is an artifact (inverted T12). Pre-commit: settled close < 236.73 with Est_12W < close -> SELL 200. Hold through the 09-24 summit. · news |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 51.25 | HOLD 1,500 | 51.39 | 50.88 | 50.93 (-0.9%) | 50.82 (-1.1%) | 50.60 (-1.5%) | CMB is holding above its 50.88 stop at 51.25, but conviction slipped to 43 and the 12-week estimate is below spot, so the trim trigger is one close away. OPERATIONAL: conviction (-13) is under the 20-point tick (b). Cushion 0.37 ATR. The Est_12W<close leg is already true; settled close < 50.88 -> SELL 500. · news |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.00 | HOLD 4,000 | 5.92 | 5.83 | 5.99 (+1.2%) | 5.91 (-0.2%) | 5.96 (+0.7%) | Bank of China is the book's steadiest winner (+10.3%). It is armed with no deterioration tick, so it stays on its trail. OPERATIONAL: Gain_ATR 5.06; conviction flat at 56; tick (c) is suppressed on the inverted T12. Trail held at 5.83 (printed 5.70 is lower), cushion 1.54 ATR. · news |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.66 | HOLD 2,000 | 9.58 | 9.46 | 9.65 (+0.7%) | 9.57 (-0.1%) | 9.64 (+0.6%) | CCB is steady at 9.66 on HOLD 56, 1 ATR above its stop. No exit case. OPERATIONAL: printed stop 9.18 is lower, so 9.46 is held. Pre-commit: settled close < 9.46 -> SELL 1000. · news |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.21 | HOLD 500 | 8.30 | 7.98 | 8.18 (-1.4%) | 8.22 (-1.0%) | 8.13 (-2.0%) | BoCom's-share odd lot is held on a stop raised to the printed 7.98. The dead-forward tick was already banked by the 09-21 profit-take. OPERATIONAL: conviction; tick (c) is non-selecting (HF-P51/66); 30% is sub-lot (HF-P65). Stop RAISED 7.97 -> 7.98. Pre-commit: settled close < 7.98 -> SELL 500. Re-arm counter 0. · news |
| 2388 | BOC Hong Kong Holdings | 51.30 | WATCH | 51.30 | 50.95 | 51.31 (+0.0%) | 52.13 (+1.6%) | 51.77 (+0.9%) | BOC HK weakened further: WATCH 33, down from 57, closing at 51.30. It remains quality-gated (F-Score 4), so there is no entry. OPERATIONAL: re-evaluate only on a fresh BUY print that passes the quality gate. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
53 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
6.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.