Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 30.58 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @30.82 lapsed — closed 30.58 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. Reconcile line - the 2026-08-28 add executed. Today's low of 29.68 traded through the 30.82 limit and input/hksemiconportfolio.json now reads at an average cost of 30.3929, up from 10,000. This is the book's second consecutive filled Lenovo add and the only clean fill anywhere in the HK family this fortnight - notable because this is one of just three agent books whose Auto-Executor is not stale. |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology (Group) | 71.90 | BUY — QUEUED @72.45 | 72.45 | 64.73 | 81.56 (+12.6%) | 102.82 (+41.9%) | 82.75 (+14.2%) | Sunny Optical has printed a mid-80s conviction breakout for two sessions running and is the only qualifying buy in this semiconductor book. The intrinsic work is close to neutral rather than a bargain - marginally undervalued on a DCF of 68.69 against a 71.90 close - so this is a momentum entry with no valuation objection rather than a value case, and it is sized and stopped accordingly. We buy the follow-through, not the print: a buy-stop at the model entry of 72.45, above today's close, so it only fills if the move extends. OPERATIONAL: MoS_FV +0.0156 rounds to val_adj 0 - the UNDERVALUED label is technically true but economically empty here, and the 1.25x size uplift is NOT taken. Scorecard bias 0 (BreakoutUp_20D|buy is n=1, report-only). HORIZON: Broadcom Q3 FY2026 on 09-03 is a two-sided +/-6% high-confidence read-through landing one session after execution - the single strongest reason this is a stop and not a market buy. Model Stop_Price 57.26 (-20.4% from close) is the worst HK-12 instance of the day and is REJECTED; working stop is the 2.0x ATR chandelier at 64.73, risk HKESTIMATE WARNING: no Est_* columns on this book - the 1wk fallback computes +12.6% and is nonsense; the parent hk estimator prints Est_1W 72.73 (+0.4%) and Est_4W 74.50 (+2.8%) on the identical row, believe those. Target_12Week 82.75 EXCEEDS this book's 68.69 DCF anchor by 20% - projection assumes growth beyond priced-in. L7 CROSS-BOOK: hk (5,000 @72.21) and hktech (4,200 @71.65) buy the same name today - / ~HKfamily-wide; hk governs, execute once. |
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 30.58 | HOLD | — | 29.68 | n/a | n/a | 33.07 | Lenovo sits 0.6% above the freshly-averaged cost after today's fill and continues to hold its uptrend - no sell label, no exit warning, and a constructive twelve-week view. We hold the full and lift the risk line under them. OPERATIONAL: not profit-armed (no Exit_Warning printed at all). Stop raised 29.10 -> 29.68 to the live model level. This position sits on FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy, the book's ONLY actionable scorecard cell at bias +3 (n=7, hit_1w.667) - the one evidence-backed edge hksemicon owns. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
16 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.138 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
49 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.