Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 2513 | Knowledge Atlas Technology | 1825.00 | NO ACTION | 1848.52 | 1404.28 | 1970.68 (+6.6%) | 2255.73 (+22.0%) | 2600.62 (+40.7%) | Best bullish-actionable print but rejected: PullbackBuy_VWAP (L1-favored cell) BUY conv 60 is 5 pts below the 65 floor, Buy_Rank #1. The 07--06 withdrawn-queue name re-arming: WATCH cv50 (07-07) -> BUY cv60 today. Entry 1848.52 vs 1825 close, not extended (EDist 0.07) and not overbought (RSI 53.8) -> clean setup, just short of the bar. Stop 1404.28 (-24.0%, wide high-ATR name, ATR 355.4). Overlay ('no new leverage into 07-08 FOMC minutes') + Event Horizon (TSMC 07-16 add-after-print) both say wait for the print. val_adj 0 (NA_CCY), scorecard_bias 0, f=0.30. Ledgered direction=none/optional so the counterfactual grader prices what not-buying cost or saved. T12 2600.62 exceeds Est_High 2372.5 (no DCF anchor, NA_CCY; loss-making speculative issuer). |
| — | hktech book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO ACTION verdict. Standalone fresh inception book (ADR-0014), no holdings -> empty sell pool; buy pool has two names both below the 65 floor: 2513 (PullbackBuy_VWAP BUY cv60, 5 below floor) and 0522 (PullbackBuy_VWAP BUY cv55, 10 below floor + extended EDist 0.87). HKseed cash fully retained (0%). Overlay + Event Horizon both reinforce the wait (no new leverage into 07-08 FOMC minutes; CPI 07-14; TSMC 07-16 add-after-print). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.