Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group | 24.04 | BUY — QUEUED @23.35 | 23.35 | 21.28 | 23.92 (+2.4%) | 25.25 (+8.1%) | 34.26 (+46.7%) | Book's first. Lenovo is a clean STRONG BUY on the L1-favored PullbackBuy_VWAP cell (Buy_Rank #1, conv 79) with a non-extended pullback-limit entry, and the news confirms it: +137% YTD, Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy, enterprise PC refresh + AI-device/infra tailwind, two-year revenue ambition. Queue a buy-limit at 23.35 (below the 24.04 settled close, EDist -0.42, RSI 58.5 not overbought) so we buy on a ~-2.9% pullback, not a chase. ( x 2,000) x 23.35 = HK = 14% of the 2M book; measured first ticket, 86% dry into the 07-14 CPI print per overlay 'stage adds between rate events'. NA_CCY -> val_adj 0, quality gate off; scorecard_bias 0 (PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy cell report-only n=1). f=0.30 (calib_1w degenerate, L5). 12wk 34.26 exceeds Est_High 24.67 -- projection assumes growth beyond model range, no DCF anchor (NA_CCY). GTC limit, expires 2026-07-14 (anchor + 3 sessions); reprice/re-validate if 07-10 open gaps >~1.5% (L8). · news |
| PORTFOLIO | hktech book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | First verdict after 4 straight NO ACTION days: queue 0992 Lenovo (STRONG BUY cv79, L1 PullbackBuy, news-confirmed) as a HKGTC pullback-limit; 2513 cleared floor but demoted on the Zhipu placement news. 0 DISPOSE (zero holdings, empty sell pool). HKdry, ~14% if 0992 fills, 86% retained into 07-14 CPI. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.