Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION. Withdraw XLP + SKYY pending queues. Flat book, no buy clears cv>=65 floor. Near-miss (sub-floor WATCH): XLI cv63, SKYY cv62, IWM cv44.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | Sector ETFs | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO ACTION verdict. Tape rolled over into the 07-08 FOMC-minutes day exactly as the overlay warned: zero bullish actionable signals across 22 names -- yesterday's leaders (XLP STRONG BUY cv85, XLV cv70) collapsed to NO TRADE, SKYY faded to WATCH cv62, semis/tech AVOID, biotech NO TRADE at RSI~76, XLY the only outright bear-trend (RallySell). Only sub-floor WATCH FailedBreakdown_Up shoots (XLI cv63, SKYY cv62, IWM cv44). Flat gauge book, nothing held to manage, CASH preserved into 07-14 CPI. Wait for post-CPI re-arm. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
22 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.080 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.