US — End-of-Day Verdict
DISPOSE: NVDA 88@~204.12 (strong-sell x2 + neg-12wk, L2) + GOOGL 30@~361.92 (fired profit-take, overlay-capped). ACQUIRE: NO ACTION (risk-off buy pool; DELL/NET/JPM near-misses rejected). LLY/SNOW/AMD 07-08 queues withdrawn. NBIS/KLAC/SNDK recovered - holds. SPCX muted (Aug lock-up concern, manual stop 135).
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 204.12 | SELL 88.52% | 204.12 | 218.23⚠ | n/a | n/a | 180.91 (-11.4%) | Reduce a persistent underperformer: NVDA prints a stable STRONG SELL - REDUCE (cv76 Jul-7 close -> cv81 Jul-8 close, both settled) with FailedBreakout_Down_20D and a negative 12wk view (T12 180.91, -11.4%) -> a valid trend/signal exit (L2), not a valuation call. News confirms a broad rotation out of NVDA (-17% off high, cheapest fwd P/E since 2019) even as fundamentals stay strong. Re-fires the unexecuted 07-08 88-sh reduce (L3); sold into the +3.7% bounce. Keep a 12-sh stub, stop 218.23; execute at the Jul-9 open, reprice if gap >1.5% (L8). · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 361.92 | SELL 30% | 361.92 | 345.00 | n/a | n/a | 351.54 (-2.9%) | Bank a partial gain on a stalling winner: a fired profit-take (ADR-0012) - PROFIT_ARMED (T12 prog 103%) plus three deterioration ticks (conviction collapse, dead forward view T12 351.54 < close, 3x consecutive NO TRADE). The 3-tick read maps to 50%, but the standing overlay caps the pre-earnings trim at the 30-sh tick and says trail through 07-22 earnings (news-override force) -> trim 30%. Valuation-amplify G2-suppressed (T12 >> DCF 154.23). News neutral-to-supportive (Strong Buy, Dow member, Cloud +63%) so hold the 70-sh core and trail 345 through the 07-22 print. Re-fires the unexecuted 07-08 30-sh trim (L3); execute Jul-9 open, reprice if gap >1.5% (L8). · news |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 216.48 | HOLD | 216.48 | 200.00 | n/a | n/a | 258.80 (+19.5%) | Recovered +10.9% off the 195 low across the session back above cost ( +2.31%) with a still-positive +12wk view; no breach, no sell case. Hold the core (overlay: no adds until the Meta-cloud question clears); raise the stop to 200.00 to bank the recovery. |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 221.18 | HOLD | 221.18 | 210.15 | n/a | 265.29 (+19.9%) | 296.93 (+34.2%) | Recovery HOLD (cv49->54) with a +34% 12wk view and a +25.85% cost cushion; not armed (GainATR 2.06 < 3.0). No breach. Hold, stop reset 210.15. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 948.80 | HOLD | 948.80 | 900.42 | n/a | 1124.90 (+18.6%) | 1352.04 (+42.5%) | Held winner ( +10.86%) with a +42% 12wk view, overlay hold-upgraded (HBM sold out 2026); not armed. Ride; add only on a fresh PullbackBuy at-entry reprint. Stop 900.42. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | — | HOLD | — | 135.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Muted (private, no public quote) - held on the manual 135 stop. News CONCERN: the insider lock-up expiration is the defining overhang (first ~20% slice frees after late-July Q2; eligible by end-October; Musk locked to June-2027). Aug lock-up is the forward de-risk trigger; hold into late-July Q2, watch for a break of 135. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
62 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.072 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
23 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.