US — End-of-Day Verdict
DISPOSE: NVDA 50@~202.78 (profit-take armed+dead-fwd+4xNO TRADE) + SNDK 5@~1858.27 (profit-take armed+failed-breakout). ACQUIRE: DELL QUEUED 61@416.78 (PullbackBuy cv88, extended->pullback limit). GOOGL 07-09 trim withdrawn->hold100 trail345. KLAC/MU/LLY/GLW/NBIS holds (armed-not-fired trail-raises). SPCX muted (late-July lock-up concern vs Nasdaq-100 inclusion; manual stop 135).
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 202.78 | SELL 50% | 202.78 | 190.00 | 203.52 (+0.4%) | 201.29 (-0.7%) | 201.70 (-0.5%) | Profit-take on a target-reached AI leader with no forward upside left: ADR-0012 armed (T12_prog 100.54%) + dead/slightly-negative 12wk (201.70 vs 202.78) + 4x consecutive NO TRADE; bank half, ride 50 on the intact bull case. Ticks (c)+(d) fire regardless of G1 (not a fresh breakout). News confirms the ~flat-2026 de-rate. Trail 190.00 (2xATR). SUPERSEDES the 07-09 88-sh reduce (STRONG SELL basis dissolved to NO TRADE). Execute 07-10 open, reprice if gap >1.5% (L8). · news |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1858.27 | SELL 30% | 1858.27 | 1520.00 | 1846.53 (-0.6%) | 1760.72 (-5.2%) | 1581.18 (-14.9%) | Small profit-take banking part of a big winner (T12_prog 117.52%, 17% past target) that is now flashing a bearish failed breakout with a negative 12wk forward (1581 vs 1858, -14.9%): ADR-0012 armed + 1 tick (c). MoS -4.11 would bump but G2 suppresses (T12 >> DCF 1005, unreliable) -> stays 30% =. Keep 10, trail 1520. 12wk exceeds DCF anchor. Execute 07-10 open (L8). |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 450.22 | BUY — QUEUED @416.78 | 416.78 | 379.44 | 448.31 (+7.6%) | 481.07 (+15.4%) | 512.99 (+23.1%) | The book's only clean buy - cv88 on the bankable PullbackBuy_VWAP cell (Buy_Rank 1), quality-passing (F-Score 8, FAIR_VALUE) with AI-server backlog strength. But +213% YTD and extended (eD -1.04, RSI 64) into UBS caution, so QUEUE the model pullback limit at 416.78 (-7.4%, self-limiting) rather than chase 450 (L1/US-9/US-10). adj (val_adj -10 MoS -2.60, bias +5), size x0.75.. Expires 2026-07-15 (anchor+3); reprice to live Entry_Price at the open, withdraw if cv<65. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet A | 358.89 | HOLD | — | 345.00 | 361.35 | 377.44 | 376.54 | Hold the full 100 and trail through 07-22 earnings: armed (T12_prog 95.31%) but NOT fired - at the settled close the forward view turned +4.9% positive (T12 376.54 > 358.89) and the print is AVOID not NO TRADE, so the 07-09 fired 30-sh trim is WITHDRAWN (basis dissolved; the recurring GOOGL intraday-STRONG-SELL -> settled-close fade, US-11). Armed-but-not-fired -> trail-raise 345 (overlay invalidation), catalyst-hold through the event. 12wk exceeds DCF 154.23. |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 229.52 | HOLD | 229.52 | 210.15 | 232.42 (+1.3%) | 234.30 (+2.1%) | 241.70 (+5.3%) | Big winner (+30.6%, +5.3% 12wk view still alive); armed (T12_prog 94.96%) but not fired -> hold, keep trail 210.15 (never lower; scan 2xATR 183.71 is looser). No breach. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 991.64 | HOLD | 991.64 | 947.75 | 996.14 (+0.5%) | 1032.64 (+4.1%) | 1119.95 (+12.9%) | Held winner (+15.9%, +12.9% 12wk view), overlay hold-upgraded (HBM sold out 2026); not armed. Ride; add only on a fresh PullbackBuy at-entry reprint. Raise stop 947.75. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1216.95 | HOLD | 1216.95 | 1180.30 | 1232.68 (+1.3%) | 1254.73 (+3.1%) | 1309.26 (+7.6%) | Defensive anchor, +7.6% 12wk view alive; armed (T12_prog 92.95%) but not fired (cv, no ticks) -> trail-raise, keep 1180.30 (scan 1138.04 lower). Overlay invalidation 975. |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 216.20 | HOLD | 216.20 | 200.00 | 217.56 (+0.6%) | 232.73 (+7.6%) | 254.32 (+17.6%) | Recovered above cost ( +2.17%), +17.6% 12wk view; not armed. Overlay: keep the core, no adds until the Meta-cloud question clears. Keep stop 200.00. |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated | 192.38 | HOLD | 192.38 | 182.33 | 194.34 (+1.0%) | 200.55 (+4.2%) | 220.33 (+14.5%) | Modest drawdown (-3.6%) but +14.5% 12wk view alive, close 192.38 > stop; not armed. Hold, raise stop 182.33. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | — | HOLD | — | 135.00 | n/a | n/a | n/a | Muted (private, no public quote) - held on the manual 135 stop. News CONCERN: the insider lock-up is the defining overhang - first ~20% slice frees after Q2 in late July (imminent), eligible by end-October, Musk locked to June-2027; /sh, 43T. Offset: Nasdaq-100 inclusion expected this week (index-buying tailwind, horizon advisory). Hold into the late-July Q2 lock-up trigger, watch a break of 135. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
64 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.071 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
23 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.