Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 197.46 | SELL 30% | 197.46 | 194.81 | n/a | 200.28 (+1.4%) | 193.66 (-1.9%) | Banking 30% of a +12% KLAC winner: the 12-week view (193.66) now sits below the 197.46 close after a -4.5% session, so the forward case for holding the full size is gone; the core rides on the 194.81 trail into TSMC/ASML prints. Profit-take armed (Gain_ATR watermark 4.44, real cost; US-84) + tick c dead forward -1.92%. Re-card of the 10-02/10-05 card (3rd session unexecuted, UNRECONCILED); US-19 no escalation. Trail 194.81 is only 0.34 ATR under the close; decisive break = <=191.89. · news |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 218.67 | SELL 50% | 218.67 | 201.82 | n/a | 229.06 (+4.8%) | 220.77 (+1.0%) | Taking half off a +56% OKTA winner: momentum is fading under a bearish RSI divergence at RSI 71, conviction collapsed and the 12-week view is flat at ~128x earnings. Profit-take armed (Gain_ATR 8.67, real cost) + 3 ticks (a RSI_DIV, b cv -37 from a HOLD row, c 12wk 220.77 < 223.04) -> profit_take_2 50%; escalated on newly-satisfied independent ticks b+c (US-87). G1 n/a (cv31 < 80); MoS -6.57 bump G2-suppressed. Residual on 201.82. · news |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 355.01 | SELL 30% | 355.01 | 336.93 | n/a | 360.27 (+1.5%) | 391.61 (+10.3%) | Trimming 30% of a +29% NET winner as conviction collapsed in one session; the 12-week view (+10%) is still alive, so this is a partial bank, not an exit. Profit-take armed (Gain_ATR 5.42) + tick b (HOLD cv78 -> HOLD cv48, prior row neutral-hold, US-83/US-49 ok); tick a RSI_DIV from 10-05 cleared but basis persists at the same 30% tier (US-19/US-32). MoS bump G2-suppressed. Residual on 336.93. |
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | 182.56 | NO ACTION | 182.56 | 184.14⚠ | n/a | 183.10 (+0.3%) | 201.41 (+10.3%) | SKHY slipped 0.86% under its 184.14 stop on pre-earnings caution (not name-specific bad news) while the engine printed BUY - ADD cv73 and the 12-week view is +10%; not decisive (US-44), so the line is held, not lowered (US-58), and the catalyst hold applies (US-EOQ-1, Samsung prelim 10-08). Written trigger: SELL (30% floor) on a settled close <=181.38 on us_signals_20261008_06001x.csv or us_signals_20261009_06001x.csv; lapses after the 20261009 EOD. ADD declined: US-56 stalemate veto + adds into a live breach. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 347.68 | HOLD | 347.68 | 342.20 | n/a | 351.71 (+1.2%) | 362.66 (+4.3%) | The lone 10-05 STRONG SELL - REDUCE did not repeat (now HOLD cv62), so the SSR limb of the SELL 66 trigger is dead (US-18/US-34); the close limb (<=337.07 on us_signals_20261008_06001x.csv) stays live until that EOD. 12wk +4.3%; blank Avg_Cost declines the T12 arm (US-55). |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1045.56 | HOLD | 1045.56 | 1022.05 | n/a | 1050.01 (+0.4%) | 1134.72 (+8.5%) | Armed (Gain_ATR 5.06) but no tick: NO TRADE -> HOLD cv61 crosses a label (US-49), 12wk 1134.72 alive (+8.5%), no warning. Hold on 1022.05 into the Samsung prelim (10-08) read-through. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 171.92 | HOLD | 171.92 | 156.54 | n/a | 180.43 (+4.9%) | 192.44 (+11.9%) | STRONG BUY - ADD cv86 but the 154.26 entry is -2.30 ATR below the close -> WATCH re-arm (US-54), and acquires are vetoed while the book is UNRECONCILED (US-56). Trail raised 155.90 -> 156.54 (2.0 ATR chandelier) through the 10-09 lock-up rung (hold-through). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
276 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.