Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | 178.25 | SELL 30% | 178.25 | 184.14⚠ | n/a | 179.24 (+0.6%) | 194.19 (+8.9%) | Cutting 30% of SK hynix after a decisive close 3.2% below its 184.14 stop on pre-earnings caution in Korean memory names; the 12-week view (+8.9%) is still positive, so this is a risk-sizing cut, not an exit. Pre-committed 10-06 trigger (close <=181.38 on us_signals_20261008_06001x.csv) FIRED (US-44 decisive, US-88 not re-litigated). PROFIT_ARMED on a -3.65% loser ignored (US-26). Line held at 184.14 (US-58). Self-heal: withdraw if the 20261009 settled close reclaims >=184.14 (US-22). Escalation trigger: SELL 70 more on a close <=169.04 (20261009-20261014 files). · news |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 196.83 | SELL 30% | 196.83 | 194.81 | n/a | 200.74 (+2.0%) | 194.23 (-1.3%) | Banking 30% of a +12% KLAC winner: the 12-week view (194.23) still sits below the 196.83 close and the engine has gone quiet for a second session, so the forward case for the full size is gone; the core rides on the 194.81 trail into its 10-28 earnings. Armed (Gain_ATR watermark 4.44, real cost; US-84) + tick c (dead 12wk -1.32%) + tick d (2nd NO TRADE, corroborated, US-71); soft ticks -> no escalation (US-19). 4th consecutive re-card (US-37 stalemate, UNRECONCILED). Trail 0.27 ATR under the close; decisive break <=191.89. MS PT cut (Overweight kept). · news |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 218.00 | SELL 30% | 218.00 | 201.82 | n/a | 229.22 (+5.1%) | 223.19 (+2.4%) | Banking 30% of a +56% OKTA winner after its conviction collapsed on 10-06) and the engine has since gone quiet; the 12-week view has firmed to +2.4%, so the trim is cut back from half to the 30% floor. Armed (Gain_ATR 9.66, real cost) + the unexecuted 10-06 tick b fire; tick a RSI_DIV cleared and tick c dissolved (12wk 220.77 -> 223.19, +1.42 pts, clears the US-86 band) -> de-escalated 50% -> 30% (US-32). MoS bump G2-suppressed. Residual on 201.82. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1188.72 | NO ACTION | 1163.40 | 1092.77 | n/a | 1230.32 (+5.8%) | 1276.26 (+9.7%) | Lilly flipped to a STRONG BUY - ADD (cv) on a pullback-to-VWAP setup after a +2.7% session, with earnings 10-29 ahead; adjusted conviction 76 clears the floor, but acquires are vetoed while the book is UNRECONCILED (US-56), so this is a WATCH: ADD (99.33% x x 0.75 size mod, MoS -2.69) at a <=1163.40 limit, re-armed only while the next settled file still prints a buy trigger. Hold existing on 1131.95. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 350.50 | HOLD | 350.50 | 342.20 | n/a | 358.92 (+2.4%) | 365.13 (+4.2%) | HOLD cv62 -> cv57, 12wk +4.2% alive; no tick. The 10-05 SELL 66 close limb (<=337.07 on the 20261008 file) LAPSED unfired (close 350.50). Blank Avg_Cost declines the T12 arm (US-55). Line 342.20. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1088.00 | HOLD | 1088.00 | 1022.05 | n/a | 1104.38 (+1.5%) | 1221.29 (+12.3%) | Armed (Gain_ATR 5.08) but no tick: conviction rising, 12wk +12.3%, no warning. Hold on 1022.05 through the Samsung Q3 prelim (10-08) read-through. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 237.47 | HOLD | 237.47 | 228.72 | n/a | 247.02 (+4.0%) | 259.49 (+9.3%) | HOLD cv73 -> NO TRADE cv0 is a label crossing, not tick b (US-49); first NO TRADE (tick d needs a 2nd + corroboration, US-71); 12wk +9.3%; blank Avg_Cost declines the T12 arm (US-55). Line 228.72. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 167.60 | HOLD | 167.60 | 156.54 | n/a | 176.35 (+5.2%) | 189.01 (+12.8%) | SB-ADD cv86 -> HOLD cv61; not armed (no PROFIT_ARMED, T12 88.67%, blank cost) so no profit-take; 12wk +12.8%. Line 156.54 held through the 10-09 lock-up rung (hold-through). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
279 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.