Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 226.53 | SELL 30% | 226.53 | 213.23 | n/a | 244.00 (+7.7%) | 241.97 (+6.8%) | Bank the first 30% of a +62% winner: OKTA printed a second straight NO TRADE after a failed 52-week-high breakout, with the close and RSI both slipping, while valuation sits far above intrinsic value. Pre-committed tick-(d) trigger from 10-12 fired (US-88): armed Gain_ATR 9.0, 2x NO TRADE cv0 corroborated close 226.53<227.08 and RSI 70.45<71.0 (US-71); first soft-tick fire executed (US-19); MoS bump G2-suppressed at issuance. Residual on the 213.23 line. · news |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 184.00 | NO ACTION | 184.00 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | 185.05 (+0.6%) | 184.94 (+0.5%) | Follow-on trigger NOT fired: price limb met (184.00<=185.00) but 12wk 184.94 is (+0.51%) above the close (US-88, not re-litigated). Carried on us_signals_20261015_06001x..20261016_06001x. The 10-12 SELL 135 card stays LIVE: if unfilled on 10-13 (open 185.42 would have filled), execute at the 10-14 open, ref 184.00. Decisive breach -5.55% vs 194.81, line never lowered (US-58). AMAT WFE-outlook semicap selloff is sector-scoped (US-12). · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 228.52 | NO ACTION | 228.52 | 228.72⚠ | n/a | 239.30 (+4.7%) | 249.83 (+9.3%) | Carried trigger not fired (close 228.52 > 225.29; breach -0.09% noise). HOLD cv45->51, 12wk +9.3%. SELL on a settled close <=225.29 AND 12wk<=1.02x close, files 20261015-20261016. Cost blank (US-55). TSMC 10-15 hold-through. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1166.51 | NO ACTION | 1166.51 | 1131.95 | n/a | 1218.23 (+4.4%) | 1253.56 (+7.5%) | HOLD cv73 -> NO TRADE cv0 is a label crossing, not tick (b) (US-49); T12-limb arm on a blank cost declined (US-55). Deferred SELL (30%) if us_signals_20261015_06001x.csv prints a 2nd NO TRADE corroborated by close <1166.51 or RSI <49.97; stays deferred while cost is blank. Q3 10-29. |
| META | Meta Platforms | 762.50 | NO ACTION | 733.67 | 706.02 | n/a | 765.51 (+4.3%) | 796.04 (+8.5%) | Second straight STRONG BUY on a pullback-to-VWAP setup, backed by strong Muse AI-assistant retention data; buy only on a dip to the model entry, with a smaller size because the stock is priced above intrinsic value. CONDITIONAL: US-56 veto until the MSFT/SPCX 10-02 dispositions are recorded; arms then if the next close still prints a buy trigger within 1.5 ATR - reprice to that Entry_Price. Limit -1.21 ATR (US-54 ok). Sizing x0.75 ->. Q3 date unconfirmed (10-21 vs 10-28); L6. · news |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | 28.37 | NO ACTION | 28.37 | 28.12 | n/a | 28.88 (+1.8%) | 28.76 (+1.4%) | 10-12 pre-commit (2nd BUY >=65) satisfied with B66, but US-56 vetoes acquires; stop 28.12 is a 0.5-ATR noise stop (US-47) and 12wk only +1.4%. Re-arm only once US-56 lifts. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 353.78 | HOLD | 353.78 | 342.20 | n/a | 362.54 (+2.5%) | 366.57 (+3.6%) | HOLD cv57->75 strengthening; T12-limb arm on a blank cost declined (US-55); 12wk +3.6%. Line 342.20 (engine 338.83 lower, not taken, US-58). Q3 10-27. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 347.70 | HOLD | 347.70 | 336.93 | n/a | 359.87 (+3.5%) | 391.17 (+12.5%) | Armed (Gain_ATR 4.82, +26.8%) not fired: cv unchanged 64, 12wk +12.5%, no warning code. Chandelier 317.25 below the 336.93 line, kept. 10-09 SELL 42 still unrecorded (withdrawn unless filled 10-12). Q3 10-29. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 156.54 | HOLD | 156.54 | 156.54⚠ | n/a | 163.50 (+4.4%) | 182.16 (+16.4%) | Closed exactly on the 156.54 line after -4.21% (not decisive; <=154.19 would be). BUY-ADD cv74 is a flip-flop (BA74->NT0->NT0->BA74), Buy Limit above the close (US-64), lock-up rung 10-26, and US-56 (SPCX 10-02 SELL itself unreconciled) - no add. Not armed (blank cost). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
288 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.