Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 178.81 | SELL 30% | 178.81 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | 182.05 (+1.8%) | 187.82 (+5.0%) | KLAC has closed 8% below its stop on a sector-wide chip flush and printed a second straight no-trade signal on a barely-profitable position, so the book banks a third and keeps the core into the 10-28 print. Profit-take armed (T12 99.49 prior row) + tick (d) corroborated (US-71); same card as the 10-12 SELL - if that filled, this is satisfied, do not sell again. Residual 315 on 194.81. MoS bump G2-suppressed (12wk 187.82 vs DCF). · news |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 211.91 | SELL 50% | 211.91 | 213.23⚠ | n/a | 219.62 (+3.6%) | 220.00 (+3.8%) | Okta, up over 50% on cost, broke its 10-day EMA after a long overbought stretch and the engine flagged exhaustion, so the book banks half and rides the rest. Armed (Gain_ATR 9.0 prior row) + Tier-2 tick (a) EMA10_BREAK -> profit_take_2 50% (independent hard tick, US-87; supersedes the 10-13 SELL 60 - if that filled, sell 40). Engine 88% lone-print portion not adopted (US-). MoS bump G2-suppressed. Residual on 213.23. · news |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 178.81 | NO ACTION | 178.81 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | n/a | n/a | Follow-on: SELL if us_signals_20261016_06001x.csv settles <=185.00 with 12wk <=1.02x close (US-86). 12wk limb failed on 20261015 (187.82, +5.04%). Lapses after that file. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 221.30 | NO ACTION | 221.30 | 228.72⚠ | n/a | 234.20 (+5.8%) | 243.91 (+10.2%) | HOLD cv52 rising; 1st decisive break -3.24% on the CPI chip flush, but 12wk 243.91 (+10.2%) keeps the L2 limb unmet. SELL on a settled close <=225.29 with 12wk <=1.02x close, files 20261016-20261019. Blank cost declines the T12 arm (US-55). |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 324.33 | NO ACTION | 324.33 | 336.93⚠ | n/a | 336.40 (+3.7%) | 356.59 (+9.9%) | Armed (Gain_ATR 2.93/T12 90.95) not fired; 1st decisive break -3.74%; Q3 10-29 + 12wk +9.9% = US-EOQ-1 catalyst hold. SELL on a 2nd settled close <=331.88 with 12wk <=1.02x close, files 20261016-20261019. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 152.16 | NO ACTION | 152.16 | 156.54⚠ | n/a | 159.61 (+4.9%) | 177.71 (+16.8%) | 1st decisive break -2.80% (<=154.19) as the BA74 flip-flop resolved to NO TRADE. US-12 sector-break trim: SELL on a 2nd decisive settled close <=154.19, files 20261016-20261019 (no 12wk limb; 10-26 lock-up rung). Same block as the unreconciled 10-02 SELL - do not double. |
| AAPL | Apple | 342.96 | NO ACTION | 342.96 | 333.23 | n/a | 356.39 (+3.9%) | 361.78 (+5.5%) | Apple printed a third straight strengthening buy ->85) at its model entry while chips sold off, and clears the book's adj-65 floor at 77. WATCH only: US-56 vetoes acquires until the owed cards are recorded. Manual 1.5-ATR stop 333.23 (model 339.72 is 0.5 ATR noise, US-47); size x0.5 on MoS -3.16. |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | 29.21 | NO ACTION | 29.05 | 27.67 | n/a | 30.14 (+3.8%) | 30.18 (+3.9%) | Pfizer's 20-day breakout strengthened to a STRONG BUY on a defensive-rotation day, clearing the floor at adj 75 despite the worst buy cell (-10). WATCH only (US-56). Quality False is a broken EPV parse (US-60). Thin forward (+3.9% 12wk). |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 347.64 | HOLD | 347.64 | 342.20 | n/a | 360.22 (+3.6%) | 366.47 (+5.4%) | Single NO TRADE after H75 - not tick (d), crossing not tick (b) (US-); T12 arm on blank cost declined (US-55). 12wk +5.4%. Line 342.20 +1.59%. Q3 10-27. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1208.74 | HOLD | 1208.74 | 1145.03 | n/a | 1266.25 (+4.8%) | 1306.77 (+8.1%) | HOLD cv83 recovering (+3.62%); deferred SELL 27 trigger lapsed unfired. Trail raised 1131.95 -> 1145.03 (engine stop, 1.73 ATR under close, US-65). Q3 10-29. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 221.30 | HOLD | 221.30 | 228.72⚠ | n/a | 234.20 (+5.8%) | 243.91 (+10.2%) | HOLD through the CPI flush: conviction rising ->52, 12wk +10.2%; line 228.72 held (breached -3.24%, written trigger governs). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
289 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.