Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 187.26 | SELL 50% | 187.26 | 213.23⚠ | n/a | 192.94 (+3.0%) | 188.28 (+0.5%) | Okta is still up about a third on cost, but it slid 10% in a software profit-taking wave, its conviction collapsed and its 12-week outlook has gone flat, so the book banks half and rides the rest. Armed (Gain_ATR 3.42; prior row 6.51) + tick (b) cv + tick (c) 12wk 188.28 < 191.01 -> profit_take_2; new independent tick (US-87), not US-19 escalation. 2nd decisive break of 213.23 (-12.18%). MoS bump G2-suppressed (12wk vs DCF). If the 10-15 SELL 60 filled, sell 40 more (total). Residual on 213.23. · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 146.03 | SELL 30% | 146.03 | 156.54⚠ | n/a | 154.57 (+5.8%) | 174.93 (+19.8%) | SpaceX shares have now closed decisively below their stop for a third straight session in the growth-stock selloff, so the book's pre-committed 30% risk trim stands while the core is kept into the 10-26 lock-up rung. US-12 trigger fired 10-15; repriced 148.62 -> 146.03. Same block as the 10-02/10-15 SELL - do not double. Residual 210 on 156.54. |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 165.74 | NO ACTION | 165.74 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | 172.20 (+3.9%) | 175.99 (+6.2%) | SELL (30%) on any settled SELL - REDUCE / STRONG SELL - REDUCE print, OR a settled close with Target_12Week <= 1.02x close (L2), in files through 20261028. Escalation trigger (2nd SSR in 20261017) lapsed unfired. Line 194.81 held (US-58). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 214.13 | NO ACTION | 214.13 | 228.72⚠ | n/a | 226.20 (+5.6%) | 236.99 (+10.7%) | Carried, not fired: 3rd decisive break (-6.38%) but 12wk 236.99 > 1.02x close. Tick (d) met (2 consecutive settled NO TRADE) but T12-limbed arm with blank Avg_Cost -> US-55 deferred fire (SELL optional). SELL on a settled close <=225.29 with 12wk <=1.02x close, files to 20261019. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 296.30 | NO ACTION | 296.30 | 336.93⚠ | n/a | 301.08 (+1.6%) | 311.06 (+5.0%) | Carried, not fired: close 296.30 (-12.06%) but 12wk 311.06 > 302.23. HOLD52 -> NT0 is a crossing, not tick (b) (US-); single NT not tick (d). US-EOQ-1 catalyst hold (Q3 10-29). Same trigger, files to 20261019. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1257.03 | NO ACTION | 1257.03 | 1179.09 | n/a | 1295.05 (+3.0%) | 1298.07 (+3.3%) | US-55 deferred fire: tick (b) cv (-26) on a T12-limbed arm (96.84) with blank Avg_Cost -> declined, ledgered so the counterfactual grader prices it. Q3 10-29 catalyst hold; trail raised to 1179.09 instead. |
| AAPL | Apple | 343.46 | NO ACTION | 343.46 | 340.15 | n/a | 352.91 (+2.8%) | 362.92 (+5.7%) | Apple held flat through a 2% Nasdaq drop and prints the book's top-ranked strong buy at the model entry, but it is priced well beyond its fair-value anchor, so size is halved. WATCH only: US-56 vetoes acquires until owed cards are recorded. Adj 80 (88 -10 val +2 cell). Q4 11-02. · news |
| CRM | SalesForce Inc | 240.70 | BUY-STOP | 240.70 | 235.78 | n/a | 248.86 (+3.4%) | 263.50 (+9.5%) | Anticipate trigger not armed: 20261017 printed BUY cv68 (adj 61, below floor), not BUY - ANTICIPATE. Carried to file 20261020 only: GTC buy-stop at that row's Entry_Price if it re-prints BUY - ANTICIPATE cv>=55 and US-56 is lifted; 0.5x size. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 340.59 | HOLD | 340.59 | 342.20⚠ | n/a | 349.72 (+2.7%) | 357.25 (+4.9%) | HOLD cv52, under the tick-(b) bar); -0.47% under 342.20, not decisive (US-44); UNDERVALUED; T12 arm w/ blank cost declined (US-55); Q3 10-27. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1257.03 | HOLD | 1257.03 | 1179.09 | n/a | 1295.05 (+3.0%) | 1298.07 (+3.3%) | HOLD + trail raise 1165.84 -> 1179.09 (2.0-ATR chandelier, US-65). Armed-not-actionable (blank cost). Q3 10-29. |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 165.74 | HOLD | 165.74 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | 172.20 (+3.9%) | 175.99 (+6.2%) | HOLD on the written trigger: SSR dissolved to HOLD cv55, -14.92% under 194.81 with 12wk +6.2% and Q1 10-28 (US-EOQ-1); line held (US-58). |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 296.30 | HOLD | 296.30 | 336.93⚠ | n/a | 301.08 (+1.6%) | 311.06 (+5.0%) | HOLD through Q3 10-29 (US-EOQ-1): armed not fired; written trigger carried. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
294 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.