Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 189.93 | SELL 30% | 189.93 | 213.23⚠ | 192.14 (+1.2%) | 195.05 (+2.7%) | 191.70 (+0.9%) | Bank 30% of a +22% winner whose 12-week view has gone flat (191.70 vs a 189.93 close) while price sits 11% under its stop line; valuation is stretched but not used to size up. ADR-0012 armed (watermark Gain_ATR 3.42) + tick (c); de-escalated % as tick (b) dissolved (US-32); MoS bump G2-suppressed. Residual 210 on 213.23. · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 147.96 | SELL 30% | 147.96 | 156.54⚠ | 148.20 (+0.2%) | 156.32 (+5.7%) | 176.01 (+19.0%) | Trim 30% after a 4th decisive close under the 156.54 line, now backed by a bearish breakdown signal, ahead of the 10-26 lock-up supply rung; the core is kept for the positive 12-week view. Pre-committed US-12 trim, same block as 10-02/10-15/10-16 SELL - do not double. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 297.58 | SELL 30% | 297.58 | 336.93⚠ | 299.56 (+0.7%) | 310.20 (+4.2%) | 313.84 (+5.5%) | Take 30% off a +8.5% gain after two straight no-trade closes and a 4th decisive close 11.7% under the stop line, with price below its 20/50-day averages; Q3 (11-05) is outside the catalyst-hold window. ADR-0012 armed (T12 94.82, cost known) + tick (d) corroborated (US-71); US-87 independent origination; MoS bump G2-suppressed. |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 166.40 | NO ACTION | 166.40 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | 172.81 (+3.9%) | 176.89 (+6.3%) | Trigger: SELL on a settled SELL-REDUCE/SSR print or 12wk <= 1.02x close in files through 20261028. Stabilizing HOLD cv63, LRCX 10-21 + own Q1 ~10-28 (US-EOQ-1); 194.81 held (US-58). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 217.09 | NO ACTION | 217.09 | 228.72⚠ | n/a | 228.99 (+5.5%) | 237.50 (+9.4%) | Trigger: SELL on close <= 225.29 with 12wk <= 1.02x close, files through 20261023 (12wk 237.50 > 221.43 tonight). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 217.09 | NO ACTION | 217.09 | 228.72⚠ | n/a | 228.99 (+5.5%) | 237.50 (+9.4%) | US-55 deferred fire: tick (d) 3x NO TRADE cv0 on a T12-limbed arm (91.41) with blank Avg_Cost - declined, ledgered for counterfactual grading. |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc | 334.59 | NO ACTION | 334.59 | 316.36 | 336.04 (+0.4%) | 329.22 (-1.6%) | 330.89 (-1.1%) | New user position (@336). Below EMA with a dead 12wk (330.89 < close) - displaced from the 3rd dispose slot by dollar rank (US-62). Trigger: SELL if file 20261021/22 settles below EMA with 12wk <= close, or decisive close < 316.36 (manual 1.5-ATR line); files through 20261023. |
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | 142.87 | NO ACTION | 142.87 | 129.19 | 143.55 (+0.5%) | 149.70 (+4.8%) | 172.17 (+20.5%) | New user position (@142.60). Lone held-row STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv76 declined (US-18/34): 12wk +20.5%, UNDERVALUED, Q3 10-27. Trigger: SELL on a 2nd consecutive settled SR/SSR in 20261021/22 or decisive close < 129.19; files through 20261023. |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 170.24 | NO ACTION | 170.24 | 143.45 | 174.52 (+2.5%) | 183.79 (+8.0%) | 207.67 (+22.0%) | New user position (@188.80, -9.8%). Bare AVOID on a held name is not a dispose basis (US-17); 12wk +22%. Initial 1.5-ATR line 143.45. Trigger: SELL on a 2nd settled SR/SSR or decisive close < 143.45; files through 20261023. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 344.18 | HOLD | 344.18 | 342.20 | n/a | 354.24 (+2.9%) | 362.78 (+5.4%) | HOLD: reclaimed the 342.20 line (+0.58%); H52 -> NT0 is a crossing (US-); blank-cost T12 arm declined (US-55); Q3 10-28. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1240.34 | HOLD | 1240.34 | 1179.09 | n/a | 1270.96 (+2.5%) | 1284.09 (+3.5%) | HOLD on 1179.09 (chandelier 1169.76 below line - no raise); H -> NT0 crossing (US-); Q3 10-29. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
296 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.