Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 153.66 | SELL 30% | 153.66 | 194.81⚠ | 155.00 (+0.9%) | 155.86 (+1.4%) | 161.68 (+5.2%) | Trend exit on a re-printed engine REDUCE: KLAC flipped back to STRONG SELL - REDUCE cv76 (Sell_Rank 1) two sessions after the 10-23 SR58 that already fired its pre-committed trigger, closing -21% under the 194.81 line and below EMA; selling 30% ahead of tonight's FQ1 print trims a position that never got cut. Same block as the 10-21/10-23 cards (not executed) - do not double. 30% floor kept (US-72/US-88); engine 88.52% not adopted; MoS bump G2-suppressed (12wk vs DCF). Not a 2nd consecutive settled REDUCE (H70 between), so no US-87 escalation. Catalyst hold (US-EOQ-1) covers a stop-break with a positive 12wk, not a live engine REDUCE. · news |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc | 342.33 | SELL 30% | 342.33 | 316.36 | 342.33 (+0.0%) | 339.79 (-0.7%) | 330.21 (-3.5%) | Trend exit: a 4th consecutive settled engine REDUCE (SR59 -> SSR73 -> SSR75 -> SSR75) with the close still under EMA 366.55 and a dead forward view (12wk below the close); the +4% Anthropic-financing pop is a better exit price, not a reversal - the engine re-printed SSR on that close. Same block as the 10-21/10-22/10-23 cards (not executed) - do not double. 30% floor (US-72); MoS bump G2-suppressed (Rev_Growth high, 12wk > DCF). · news |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 170.47 | SELL 30% | 170.47 | 143.45 | 174.14 (+2.2%) | 173.80 (+2.0%) | 181.72 (+6.6%) | Pre-committed trigger fired: the 10-23 written trigger (SELL on a settled SR/SSR, files through 20261030) fired on file 20261027 (SR63) and is confirmed by a 2nd consecutive settled print on the anchor (SSR76, Sell_Rank 2), satisfying US-18/US-34; the +11% neocloud rebound is the exit price, not a basis change. Not re-litigated (US-88). 30% floor; valuation NA (implausible FV, US-EOQ-2), so no amplify. · news |
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | 145.36 | NO ACTION | 145.36 | 129.19 | 143.33 (-1.4%) | 151.47 (+4.2%) | 170.12 (+17.0%) | DISPLACED by the <=3 cap (US-62; lowest dollar bleed, UNDERVALUED down-ranks). 6th consecutive settled SR/SSR. Tightened trigger: SELL at the next open on a 7th settled SR/SSR (file 20261029) or any settled close < 142.60 (cost). Supersedes the unexecuted 10-23 SELL card. Q3 print pending/unconfirmed at write time. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 148.58 | NO ACTION | 148.58 | 156.54⚠ | 147.63 (-0.6%) | 148.36 (-0.1%) | 174.87 (+17.7%) | Trigger carried and re-sized to the new (owner added @148.20 on 10-27): SELL (30%) on a settled SR/SSR, any settled close < 144.75, or still < 156.54 on file 20261031 (US-79 time limb). AVOID cv64, Portion 0, 12wk +17.7%: L2 not met. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 217.94 | HOLD | 217.94 | 228.72⚠ | 219.98 (+0.9%) | 224.29 (+2.9%) | 232.49 (+6.7%) | HOLD: 11th NO TRADE cv0 (consensus conflict + low conviction); above EMA 207.46 with 12wk +6.7%, so L2 is not met. Trigger re-armed through file 20261103: SELL on a decisive close < EMA (<= 204.35) with 12wk <= 1.02x close, or a settled SR/SSR. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 217.94 | NO ACTION | 217.94 | 228.72⚠ | 219.98 (+0.9%) | 224.29 (+2.9%) | 232.49 (+6.7%) | US-55 deferred fire: T12-armed with 2+ consecutive NO TRADE (tick d), but Avg_Cost is blank, so the arm is declined; ledgered so the counterfactual grader prices a 30% trim. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 327.80 | HOLD | 327.80 | 336.93⚠ | 329.41 (+0.5%) | 337.01 (+2.8%) | 359.27 (+9.6%) | HOLD (armed on T12 91.2, not fired -> trail): AVOID is a weakening bearish read, not a tick (US-49); 12wk alive; line 336.93 held (US-58). Catalyst hold to Q3 11-05. Trigger: SELL 42 on a settled SR/SSR or a decisive close < EMA (<= 263.44). |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 320.58 | HOLD | 320.58 | 342.20⚠ | 323.27 (+0.8%) | 328.56 (+2.5%) | 339.82 (+6.0%) | HOLD through tonight's Q3 print (catalyst hold US-EOQ-1/US-85): HOLD69 OversoldBounce_Up, 12wk +6.0% (FV regen flipped it UNDERVALUED -> GROWTH_PRICED_IN, MoS -0.56, FV : a halving, below the US-EOQ-2 5x bar but flagged); decisive -6.3% under 342.20 and below EMA200, but L2 is not met. Blank cost -> T12 arm declined (US-55). Size now (owner on 10-23). |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 226.07 | HOLD | 226.07 | 213.23 | 227.57 (+0.7%) | 232.17 (+2.7%) | 246.50 (+9.0%) | HOLD (armed, Gain_ATR 5.72, +45%, no fire tick): back +6.0% over the 213.23 line. A 2.0-ATR chandelier of 201.55 is below the line, so the line holds. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1281.91 | HOLD | 1281.91 | 1220.20 | 1292.75 (+0.8%) | 1298.39 (+1.3%) | 1316.01 (+2.7%) | HOLD into the Q3 print (10-29 BMO): HOLD62, +5.1% over 1220.20, 12wk alive (1316 > 1.02x close). Blank cost (US-55). |
| AAPL | Apple | 347.10 | NO ACTION | 347.10 | 342.39 | 348.61 (+0.4%) | 352.82 (+1.6%) | 354.64 (+2.2%) | Fresh at-entry BUY on Apple's failed-breakdown reversal (cv75, Buy_Rank 2) with a clean stop 1.4% below; richly priced (MoS -3.24) so half size. Clears adj 67 but VETOED by US-56 (unreconciled stalemate); ledgered optional so the counterfactual grader prices it. Raw 75 meets the US-10 FailedBreakdown_Up floor. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
311 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.