Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 158.77 | SELL 30% | 158.77 | 194.81⚠ | 159.28 (+0.3%) | 162.17 (+2.1%) | 165.95 (+4.5%) | KLA printed a second straight settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE and sits 18.5% under its stop and below its-day average; a modest FQ1 beat does not repair the broken trend, so cut 30%. Same block as the unexecuted 10-27 card (do not double); US-87 escalation declined (12wk +4.5%); G2 suppresses the valuation bump; reprice if the 10-29 open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc | 351.81 | SELL 30% | 351.81 | 316.36 | 352.37 (+0.2%) | 353.08 (+0.4%) | 338.34 (-3.8%) | Broadcom has printed a reduce signal five settled sessions running, trades below its-day average and the model's 12-week view sits under the price; take 30% off into the rebound. Same block as the unexecuted 10-27 card; G2-suppressed bump; residual 70 on 316.36. |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 182.34 | SELL 30% | 182.34 | 143.45 | 182.29 (-0.0%) | 179.54 (-1.5%) | 192.46 (+5.6%) | Nebius has three consecutive settled reduce signals and remains below its-day average despite the neocloud bounce; trim 30% into strength. Pre-committed trigger fired 10-27 (unexecuted); valuation NA (implausible FV, US-EOQ-2); residual on 143.45. |
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | 164.70 | NO ACTION | 164.70 | 129.19 | 162.29 (-1.5%) | 170.77 (+3.7%) | 196.95 (+19.6%) | 7th settled SSR fired the pre-commit but the <=3 dispose cap displaced it again (lowest dollar bleed, UNDERVALUED, record Q3 beat contradicts the sell; Stop=Close is the US-29 artifact). Tightened re-commit (US-62): SELL at next open on a settled close <=153.09 or SR/SSR on file 20261103 with a free slot. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 324.89 | NO ACTION | 324.89 | 342.20⚠ | 326.39 (+0.5%) | 334.46 (+2.9%) | 341.35 (+5.1%) | Q3 EPS miss (investment loss) despite Cloud +103%; shares ~-8% after hours, already decisively under the 342.20 line. US-27 exit case opened, decided on the settled close: SELL at next open if file 20261030 prints SR/SSR or settles <=300.00, or still <342.20 on file 20261103. · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 145.23 | NO ACTION | 145.23 | 156.54⚠ | 144.26 (-0.7%) | 145.54 (+0.2%) | 174.44 (+20.1%) | Trigger carried, not fired (AVOID49, close 145.23 above the 144.75 limb, 12wk +20%): SELL on a settled SR/SSR, any settled close <144.75, or still <156.54 on file 20261031. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 215.38 | NO ACTION | 215.38 | 228.72⚠ | 217.13 (+0.8%) | 221.22 (+2.7%) | 230.66 (+7.1%) | 12th NO TRADE cv0, above EMA200, 12wk +7.1%: not fired. SELL on decisive <EMA (<=204.35) with 12wk <=1.02x close, or a settled SR/SSR, through file 20261103. US-55 deferred fire (blank Avg_Cost) re-ledgered. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 318.72 | HOLD | 318.72 | 336.93⚠ | 320.28 (+0.5%) | 321.17 (+0.8%) | 336.87 (+5.7%) | Catalyst hold to Q3 11-05 (US-EOQ-1): -5.4% under the line but 12wk positive; armed via T12 not fired (AV->NT is a label crossing, US-49). SELL 42 trigger carried (settled SR/SSR or decisive <EMA <=263.44). |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 222.66 | HOLD | 222.66 | 213.23 | 223.07 (+0.2%) | 226.58 (+1.8%) | 242.81 (+9.0%) | Armed (+42.9%, Gain_ATR 5.91), no tick fired (cv -8, 12wk alive); 2.0-ATR chandelier 200.06 below the 213.23 line, line held. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1288.30 | HOLD | 1288.30 | 1220.20 | 1298.72 (+0.8%) | 1304.51 (+1.3%) | 1328.54 (+3.1%) | HOLD through the Q3 print (10-29 BMO): +5.6% over 1220.20, 12wk alive. Blank cost declines the T12 arm (US-55). |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 531.01 | NO ACTION | 532.03 | 520.73 | 534.99 (+0.6%) | 547.40 (+2.9%) | 580.73 (+9.2%) | Microsoft's strengthening pullback-buy (cv ->79, Buy_Rank 1) clears adj 65 and FQ1 beat on Azure +48%, but the stock gapped ~+4-6% after hours past the 532.03 buy-stop. VETOED by US-56 (unreconciled stalemate) and L6 (no post-earnings gap chase); ledgered optional for the counterfactual grader. · news |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | 82.40 | BUY-STOP | 82.45 | 74.63 | 82.96 (+0.6%) | 84.66 (+2.7%) | 88.03 (+6.8%) | First BUY - ANTICIPATE print (, slot-ineligible). Pre-commit (US-35): on a 2nd ANT print at cv>=55 on file 20261030, queue a GTC buy-stop at the printed Entry_Price (~82.45), (0.5x anticipate x 0.5 MoS). Subject to the US-56 veto. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
314 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.