Recommendations
2 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated | 185.41 | BUY | 185.41 | 179.47 | 186.53 (+0.6%) | 188.53 (+1.7%) | 195.68 (+5.5%) | Second consecutive settled BUY with conviction climbing on the book's best non-anticipate buy cell, bought at the model entry rather than chased; valuation trims size to 0.75x. Event risk: FQ4 print 11-04 AMC can gap through the 179.47 stop. Raw 76 clears the US-10 chase floor; US-56 veto lifted (core cards TAKEN). Reprice/withdraw if the open gaps >1.5% over 185.41. · news |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1373.70 | ADD — QUEUED @1322.23 | 1322.23 | 1266.68 | 1387.56 (+4.9%) | 1372.83 (+3.8%) | 1405.73 (+6.3%) | Q3 beat and raised revenue guidance turned LLY into a STRONG BUY - ADD breakout, but it closed ~1 ATR above the model entry on the earnings gap at RSI 74, so the add waits at the printed entry instead of chasing; rich valuation halves the size. L6/US-9 no gap-chase; BreakoutUp_20D cell 0-for-6 (bias -10), clears floor by 1. Auto-withdraw on conviction <65 or expiry. · news |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 167.43 | SELL 30% | 167.43 | 194.81⚠ | 167.57 (+0.1%) | 167.30 (-0.1%) | 173.69 (+3.7%) | Third consecutive settled STRONG SELL - REDUCE with the stock still 14% under its stop and below its 200-day average; trim another 30% of the residual after the 10-28 fill. Prior card TAKEN as @159.00; fresh floor-tier card on the live (hard basis, US-19); MoS bump G2-suppressed (12wk 173.69 vs DCF 61.80). Residual 175 on the 194.81 line. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 283.82 | SELL 22.8% | 283.82 | 342.20⚠ | 276.30 (-2.6%) | 287.52 (+1.3%) | 320.59 (+13.0%) | Alphabet's Q3 EPS miss and capex-driven negative free cash flow sent it down 12.6% to a settled 283.82, through the pre-committed post-earnings exit level and 17% under its stop; the trigger's-share block fires. US-27/US-88 pre-commit honored at its written size (30% of the pre-add 380); US- declined - name-specific cause outranks the oversold-reversal HOLD cv90. OPERATOR CONFLICT: offsets most of the 10-29 operator add of @285 - a SKIP is a legitimate disposition. · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 143.89 | SELL 30% | 143.89 | 156.54⚠ | 143.88 (-0.0%) | 144.12 (+0.2%) | 172.61 (+20.0%) | SpaceX settled below the written 144.75 trigger level after four AVOID prints and 8% under its stop, so the pre-committed 30% trim fires. Price limb fired by 0.59%; time limb (<156.54 on file 20261031) due next session; Stop=Close is the US-29 artifact. Residual 350 on 156.54. |
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc | 345.00 | NO ACTION | 345.00 | 316.36 | 345.78 (+0.2%) | 346.71 (+0.5%) | 332.30 (-3.7%) | 10-28 card TAKEN (@349.20). SR/SSR run broke (SSR65 -> AV51) - US-32 no new card. Trigger: SELL (30%) on a settled SR/SSR or decisive <=311.61, through file 20261104. Arm is T12+tick(c) single metric (US-33) - not fired. |
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | 162.09 | NO ACTION | 162.09 | 129.19 | 158.69 (-2.1%) | 170.43 (+5.1%) | 193.81 (+19.6%) | Trigger not fired (SSR81 -> AV56; 162.09 > 153.09). Carried: SELL on settled <=153.09, or SR/SSR on file 20261103 with a free slot. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 213.66 | NO ACTION | 213.66 | 228.72⚠ | 215.22 (+0.7%) | 218.83 (+2.4%) | 227.32 (+6.4%) | 13th NO TRADE cv0, above EMA200 207.55, 12wk +6.4%. Cost 215.00 now supplied -> -0.62%, arm is a US-26 loser artifact; US-55 deferred fire retired. Trigger: SELL on decisive <=204.44 with 12wk <=1.02x close, or settled SR/SSR, through file 20261103. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 310.30 | NO ACTION | 310.30 | 336.93⚠ | 312.13 (+0.6%) | 316.11 (+1.9%) | 321.71 (+3.7%) | US-EOQ-1 catalyst hold to Q3 11-05 AMC: 2nd NO TRADE (tick d uncorroborated, US-71), 12wk alive. Trigger: SELL on settled SR/SSR or decisive <EMA200 (<=264.04). |
| OKTA | Okta Inc. | 221.86 | HOLD | 221.86 | 213.23 | 222.50 (+0.3%) | 226.75 (+2.2%) | 248.60 (+12.1%) | Armed (Gain_ATR 5.18, +42%) not fired: no other warning, conviction -5, 12wk alive, no NO TRADE. 2.0-ATR chandelier 196.36 below the 213.23 line - line holds (US-65). |
| LLY | Eli Lilly & Co | 1373.70 | HOLD | 1373.70 | 1266.68 | 1387.56 (+1.0%) | 1372.83 (-0.1%) | 1405.73 (+2.3%) | Catalyst hold paid (Q3 beat, +6.6%). Armed (Gain_ATR 5.96) not fired -> mandatory trail-raise 1220.20 -> 1266.68 (2.0-ATR chandelier, US-65 ok). |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 171.99 | WATCH | 176.60 | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Reconcile: 10-27/10-28 SELL 60 card TAKEN as a full exit, @176.60 in the 10-28 session (us_transactions us-20261028-0003). Position closed. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
321 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.271 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.