Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet A | 288.15 | SELL 22.8% | 288.15 | 342.20⚠ | 294.66 (+2.3%) | 310.39 (+7.7%) | 346.91 (+20.4%) | Alphabet prints a 2nd consecutive settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE (cv75, 3 of the last 4 prints are sells) and closes 15.8% under its 342.20 stop and below EMA200, lagging a +2.7% Nasdaq rebound. The 11-06 SELL card went unexecuted; it is re-issued at the written size (US-88/US-19), repriced 284.78 -> 288.15. 12wk +20.4%, so L2 not met. Residual 386 on 342.20. Unexecuted 1 EOD (US-37). · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech | 142.07 | SELL 30% | 142.07 | 156.54⚠ | 142.11 (+0.0%) | 141.45 (-0.4%) | 169.69 (+19.4%) | SpaceX prints a 2nd consecutive settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE (cv76) and stays 9.2% under its 156.54 stop despite a +5.8% session. 4wk estimate is flat (-0.4%) and the ~Dec 8 unlock overhang is unchanged. Re-issues the unexecuted 11-06 SELL 150, repriced 134.27 -> 142.07. Keep (US-12). RKLB print reaction 11-10, MSCI review 11-11. · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 178.67 | SELL 30% | 178.67 | 228.72⚠ | 180.91 (+1.3%) | 186.34 (+4.3%) | 189.68 (+6.2%) | NVIDIA fell 4.3% on a +5% chip rebound after its board opened a probe into the CEO's ties to an alleged foreign spy, printing STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv85, Sell_Rank 1. The written trigger fired on both limbs: a settled SSR with adj >= 65, and close 178.67 <= 178.88. 30% floor tier (US-88). The -10 BreakdownDown cell is absorbed. Keep 210 through the 11-17 print (US-EOQ-1) on the 228.72 line. · news |
| KLAC | KLA | 151.38 | NO ACTION | 151.38 | 194.81⚠ | 151.74 (+0.2%) | 149.68 (-1.1%) | 167.26 (+10.5%) | KLA qualifies (10th consecutive settled SSR, adj 80, 22.3% under 194.81) but is displaced by the <=3 cap on dollar bleed ( vs NVDA). Re-committed (US-62): first free slot, or settled <= 136.40, through file 20261114_060012 (AMAT 11-12 AMC read-through). 8th unexecuted EOD; a TAKEN/SKIPPED Disposition is owed (US-37). |
| AVGO | Broadcom | 319.48 | NO ACTION | 319.48 | 316.36 | 321.80 (+0.7%) | 320.06 (+0.2%) | 324.52 (+1.6%) | Broadcom qualifies (6th consecutive settled SSR, adj) but is the smallest bleed and is displaced. It reclaimed its 316.36 stop on a +8.8% day (+0.99%, not decisive). Re-committed: first free slot, or settled <= 311.61, through file 20261114_060012 (CSCO 11-12 read-through). MoS -4.03 bump stays G2-suppressed. · news |
| OKTA | Okta | 177.57 | NO ACTION | 177.57 | 213.23⚠ | 179.72 (+1.2%) | 185.93 (+4.7%) | 190.45 (+7.3%) | Okta's tick-(d) profit-take is DE-ESCALATED (US-32/US-71): a 5th NO TRADE cv0 but no corroborating deterioration (+5.3% close, 12wk 178.04 -> 190.45). Size re-based to 30% of the recorded (11-03 fill of @186). Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 165.00, through file 20261113_060012. |
| SKHY | SK hynix | 134.38 | NO ACTION | 134.38 | 129.19 | 137.10 (+2.0%) | 142.29 (+5.9%) | 174.22 (+29.6%) | SK hynix's SSR76 is a lone flip out of AVOID63, and the close reclaimed the 129.19 stop by +4.0%, so it is DECLINED (US-18/34). Stop_Price == Close is the S1 artifact. Trigger: a 2nd consecutive settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 127.25, through file 20261113_060012. |
| NET | Cloudflare | 293.75 | NO ACTION | 293.75 | 336.93⚠ | 293.43 (-0.1%) | 295.68 (+0.7%) | 288.38 (-1.8%) | Cloudflare is +9.3% to 293.75 and 9.4% above EMA200. Armed via the T12 limb only, so tick (c) alone does not fire (US-33); tick (d) is uncorroborated (US-71). Not fired, so hold on the 336.93 line (never lowered). Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 264.38 (EMA200 - 1.5%), through file 20261113_060012. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly | 1411.95 | HOLD | 1411.95 | 1325.83 | 1424.24 (+0.9%) | 1413.45 (+0.1%) | 1490.15 (+5.5%) | Lilly is +4.3% to 1411.95 (HOLD cv69, +33.8% on cost). Armed (Gain_ATR 6.22) but no tick fired: the NT->HOLD move is a vocabulary crossing (US-49), and the 12wk 1490 is above the 1.02x line. Trail raised 1316.68 -> 1325.83 (1.5 ATR, US-47/US-65). Sell 24 on a settled SR/SSR or settled <= 1305.94, through file 20261113_060012. Ex-div 11-13. |
| MSFT | Microsoft | 545.18 | NO ACTION | 545.18 | 535.58 | 563.53 (+3.4%) | 583.57 (+7.0%) | 585.50 (+7.4%) | Microsoft clears the floor (STRONG BUY cv85 -> adj 78, Quality True, at-entry) but acquires stay vetoed by the unreconciled stalemate (US-56). Re-arm: buy at the live Entry_Price on a 2nd consecutive settled BUY with adj >= 65 once the book is reconciled. |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | 168.32 | NO ACTION | 168.32 | 165.23 | 171.09 (+1.6%) | 176.14 (+4.6%) | 168.91 (+0.4%) | P&G prints STRONG BUY cv (adj 84) but re-emerged from NO TRADE in one print, its 12wk is flat (+0.35%), and acquires are vetoed (US-56). Re-arm on a 2nd consecutive settled BUY with adj >= 65. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
342 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.333 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.