Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech | 143.09 | SELL 30% | 143.09 | 156.54⚠ | 141.76 (-0.9%) | 142.24 (-0.6%) | 170.85 (+19.4%) | SpaceX prints a 3rd consecutive STRONG SELL-REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D) and sits 8.6% under its 156.54 stop with a flat 4-week estimate; trim 30% and keep the core. Re-issued at the written size (US-19/US-88); held through the MSCI review and the Dec unlock (US-12). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 168.89 | SELL 30% | 168.89 | 228.72⚠ | 172.26 (+2.0%) | 181.38 (+7.4%) | 183.94 (+8.9%) | NVIDIA fell another 5.5% on a flat tape as the board probe into its CEO widened (China-shipment reports, a shareholder class action), printing a 3rd consecutive STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv85 and sitting 26% under its stop. Trim 30%. 11-09 card confirmed, neither leg reversed (US-86); the -8 BreakdownDown cell is absorbed. Keep 210 through the 11-17 print (US-EOQ-1) on 228.72. · news |
| KLAC | KLA | 152.99 | SELL 30% | 152.99 | 194.81⚠ | 152.92 (-0.0%) | 151.27 (-1.1%) | 167.86 (+9.7%) | KLA has printed 11 consecutive STRONG SELL-REDUCE closes and sits 21% under its stop, below the 200-day average, with a flat 4-week estimate; trim 30%. Takes slot 3 on loss-prevention ranking. 9th unexecuted EOD: a TAKEN/SKIPPED Disposition is owed (US-37). AMAT 11-12 AMC read-through. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly | 1432.29 | NO ACTION | 1432.29 | 1351.73 | 1437.70 (+0.4%) | 1423.71 (-0.6%) | 1522.46 (+6.3%) | Lilly's profit-take is armed (+36%, Gain_ATR 7.0) and fired on an RSI divergence tick, but loss-prevention sells take the three slots; the trailing stop is raised 1325.83 -> 1351.73 (1.5 ATR, US-47/US-65). Trigger: first free slot, a 2nd consecutive RSI_DIV, a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 1331.45, through file 20261113_060012. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet A | 287.38 | NO ACTION | 287.38 | 342.20⚠ | 295.51 (+2.8%) | 308.78 (+7.4%) | 345.71 (+20.3%) | Alphabet eased from STRONG SELL to AVOID cv62 in the same bearish family, still 16% under its stop and below the 200-day; the card is not dissolved (US-86) but is displaced with no sell label today. Trigger: first free slot, a settled SR/SSR with adj >= 65, or settled <= 270.00, through file 20261113_060012. |
| AVGO | Broadcom | 331.98 | NO ACTION | 331.98 | 316.36 | 332.08 (+0.0%) | 331.38 (-0.2%) | 340.66 (+2.6%) | Broadcom reclaimed its 316.36 stop by +4.9% on rotation out of NVIDIA, so the stop-break leg reversed (US-86) and the card de-escalates (US-32). Trigger: settled <= 311.61, or a settled SR/SSR after the CSCO 11-12 read-through with the close under 316.36, through file 20261114_060012. |
| OKTA | Okta | 178.36 | NO ACTION | 178.36 | 213.23⚠ | 180.18 (+1.0%) | 185.42 (+4.0%) | 190.43 (+6.8%) | Okta's 6th NO TRADE is uncorroborated (close +0.4%, 12wk flat), so the armed position holds (US-71). Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 165.00, through file 20261113_060012. |
| SKHY | SK hynix | 129.66 | NO ACTION | 129.66 | 129.19 | 132.67 (+2.3%) | 138.25 (+6.6%) | 167.67 (+29.3%) | SK hynix fell back to AVOID cv48 and holds 0.4% above its 129.19 stop; no 2nd consecutive SSR. Trigger: a 2nd consecutive settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 127.25, through file 20261113_060012. |
| NET | Cloudflare | 305.80 | NO ACTION | 305.80 | 336.93⚠ | 306.22 (+0.1%) | 307.02 (+0.4%) | 311.28 (+1.8%) | Cloudflare rose 4.1% to 13.9% above its 200-day on a NO TRADE print; not fired. Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 264.38, through file 20261113_060012. |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | 168.66 | NO ACTION | 168.66 | 166.84 | 169.98 (+0.8%) | 171.53 (+1.7%) | 169.68 (+0.6%) | P&G printed a 2nd consecutive settled BUY (adj 77, quality pass), meeting its written re-arm, but acquires remain vetoed while owed sells are unreconciled (US-56) and its 12-week view is flat (+0.6%). Re-arm on a 3rd consecutive settled BUY with adj >= 65, size x0.75. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
345 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.