Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet A | 293.45 | SELL 22.8% | 293.45 | 342.20⚠ | 301.12 (+2.6%) | 311.30 (+6.1%) | 346.09 (+17.9%) | Alphabet returned to STRONG SELL-REDUCE (cv68, Sell_Rank 3; 3 of the last 4 settled closes) while sitting 14% under its 342.20 stop and below the 200-day average, so the pre-committed trigger (a settled SR/SSR with adj >= 65) fired. Trim the written; kept. Bleed-ranked #1 ( engine exposure). Tier fixed as written (US-88); 1wk published as a band only (US-92). · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech | 139.75 | SELL 30% | 139.75 | 156.54⚠ | 138.77 (-0.7%) | 138.94 (-0.6%) | 167.01 (+19.5%) | SpaceX printed a 4th consecutive settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE and fell 2.3% on a +2.2% tape, 10.7% under its 156.54 stop, with a flat 4-week estimate. Trim 30% and keep through the MSCI effective date and the ~Dec 8 unlock (US-12/US-85). 10th consecutive issue; the open is unexecuted, and a Disposition is owed (US-37). |
| LLY | Eli Lilly | 1437.29 | SELL 50% | 1437.29 | 1365.17 | 1437.34 (+0.0%) | 1440.78 (+0.2%) | 1583.06 (+10.1%) | Lilly is the book's biggest winner (+36%, Gain_ATR 8.0) and its profit-take has now fired on two independent ticks: a 2nd consecutive RSI divergence (a), and conviction collapsing from a HOLD (b, valid per US-83). 2 ticks = the 50% tier; MoS -2.88 gives no bump. Bank and keep on a trail raised to 1365.17. Profit-take (armed + ticks a,b). This fires the 11-10 written trigger; the tier rises % on the newly-satisfied tick (b) (US-87 principle). Ex-div 11-13 (/sh forgone on the sold shares). · news |
| KLAC | KLA | 161.01 | NO ACTION | 161.01 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | 159.11 (-1.2%) | 178.16 (+10.7%) | KLA bounced 5.2% and eased from STRONG SELL to AVOID cv57 in the same bearish family; still 17% under its stop and below the 200-day, so the card is not dissolved (US-86) but has no sell label today and is displaced. Trigger: a settled SR/SSR with adj >= 65, or settled <= 150.00, through file 20261114_060012 (AMAT 11-12 AMC read-through). 10th EOD unexecuted; a Disposition is owed (US-37). |
| NET | Cloudflare | 315.00 | NO ACTION | 315.00 | 336.93⚠ | n/a | 315.39 (+0.1%) | 323.98 (+2.9%) | Cloudflare flipped to STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv74 out of four NO TRADE prints on a +3% close, a lone flip on a +15% winner with a positive 12wk, so it is declined under US-18/US-34 and displaced by the cap. Tightened trigger (US-62): a 2nd consecutive settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 291.25 (close - 1 ATR), through file 20261114_060012. Held on 336.93. |
| SKHY | SK hynix | 142.25 | NO ACTION | 142.25 | 129.19 | n/a | 149.96 (+5.4%) | 184.86 (+30.0%) | SK hynix rallied 9.7% to break-even yet printed STRONG SELL-REDUCE cv76 (non-consecutive: AVOID48 in between), 10% above its stop; not fired. Trigger: the next settled SR/SSR (a 2nd consecutive), or settled <= 127.25, through file 20261114_060012. |
| OKTA | Okta | 182.25 | NO ACTION | 182.25 | 213.23⚠ | n/a | 187.15 (+2.7%) | 193.15 (+6.0%) | Okta's 7th NO TRADE is uncorroborated (close +2.2%, 12wk 193.15 rising), so the T12-armed position holds (US-71/US-33). Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 165.00, through file 20261114_060012. |
| AAPL | Apple | 355.63 | BUY-STOP | 356.34 | 327.46 | n/a | 358.41 (+0.6%) | 358.62 (+0.6%) | Apple printed BUY - ANTICIPATE cv85 (adj 84 on the +9 AnticipationUp_VCP cell), but only 1 of the last 3 snapshots qualifies, and acquires are vetoed while owed sells are unreconciled (US-56). Pre-committed (US-35): on a 2nd ANTICIPATE print in file 20261113_060012, queue a GTC buy-stop at the live Entry_Price, 0.5x slot size x0.5 (MoS -3.29), if US-56 has lifted. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
351 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.