Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet A | 298.70 | SELL 22.8% | 298.70 | 342.20⚠ | 302.14 (+1.2%) | 315.98 (+5.8%) | 344.54 (+15.3%) | Alphabet printed a second straight settled STRONG SELL (cv) and sits 12.7% under its 342.20 stop and below its 200-day average. A TPU read-through rally is not a company-specific catalyst. Repriced 11-11 card (unexecuted); keep on 342.20. · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech | 139.94 | SELL 30% | 139.94 | 156.54⚠ | 138.89 (-0.8%) | 139.04 (-0.6%) | 164.61 (+17.6%) | SpaceX shares printed a fifth straight settled STRONG SELL and faded from a 147.58 high, 10.6% under the 156.54 stop. Merger-talk headlines are undated context. Repriced 11-11 card (unexecuted); keep through the MSCI effective date 11- (US-85). · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 166.19 | SELL 30% | 166.19 | 228.72⚠ | 170.59 (+2.6%) | 181.21 (+9.0%) | 189.33 (+13.9%) | NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang resigned and the stock printed a STRONG SELL breakdown (cv85), 27% under its stop and below its 200-day average, firing the pre-committed 11-11 trigger. Trims 30% ahead of the 11-17 print; BreakdownDown_20D|sell cell is -8 (hit_4w 0), stated; keep. · news |
| KLAC | KLA | 157.30 | NO ACTION | 157.30 | 194.81⚠ | n/a | 155.66 (-1.0%) | 181.40 (+15.3%) | KLA is 19.3% under its 194.81 stop but prints AVOID cv49 with no sell label, so no sell originates. 11th unexecuted EOD; a TAKEN/SKIPPED Disposition is owed (US-37). Trigger: a settled SR/SSR with adj >= 65, or settled <= 150.00, through file 20261119_060012. |
| NET | Cloudflare | 318.50 | NO ACTION | 318.50 | 336.93⚠ | n/a | 322.72 (+1.3%) | 332.72 (+4.5%) | Cloudflare slipped from a lone STRONG SELL to AVOID cv64 on a +1.1% close with a positive 12wk view, so no sell fires. Tightened trigger (US-62): a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 295.98, through file 20261119_060012 (PANW 11-18). |
| SKHY | SK hynix | 137.71 | NO ACTION | 137.71 | 129.19 | n/a | 145.75 (+5.8%) | 179.72 (+30.5%) | SK hynix fell back to AVOID cv61 and sits above its 129.19 stop with a rising 12wk view. Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 127.25, through file 20261119_060012. |
| OKTA | Okta | 182.54 | NO ACTION | 182.54 | 213.23⚠ | n/a | 192.10 (+5.2%) | 197.35 (+8.1%) | Okta's 8th NO TRADE is uncorroborated (close +0.2%, 12wk 197.35 rising), so the T12-armed position holds (US-71/US-33). Re-based to 30% of after the discretionary 11- buy. Trigger: a settled SR/SSR, or settled <= 165.00, through file 20261119_060012. |
| AVGO | Broadcom | 364.36 | NO ACTION | 364.36 | 331.53 | n/a | 361.91 (-0.7%) | 377.59 (+3.6%) | Broadcom rallied 5.5% on the NVIDIA rotation; armed via T12 but no tick fired, so the trail is raised 316.36 -> 331.53 (close - 1.5 ATR). Trigger: settled <= 326.56, or a settled SR/SSR, through file 20261119_060012. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly | 1427.28 | NO ACTION | 1427.28 | 1365.17 | n/a | 1430.06 (+0.2%) | 1547.58 (+8.4%) | Lilly is profit-armed (Gain_ATR 8.26) but no deterioration tick fired, so it holds on the 1365.17 trail. Trigger: a fired ADR-0012 tick (2nd corroborated NO TRADE, conviction collapse from a bullish row, new Exit_Warning), or settled <= 1344.69, through file 20261119_060012. |
| TSLA | Tesla | 397.45 | NO ACTION | 397.45 | 385.20 | 398.07 (+0.2%) | 396.69 (-0.2%) | 415.38 (+4.5%) | Tesla printed a fresh BUY cv69 (adj 71) on a failed breakdown, clearing the floor, but acquires are vetoed while owed sells are unreconciled (US-56). WATCH: on a 2nd consecutive BUY print, buy at the live Entry_Price if US-56 has lifted. Quality_Pass False is an implausible-parse artifact (US-60). |
| VIST | Vista Energy | 55.49 | NO ACTION | 55.49 | 48.28 | 56.41 (+1.7%) | 57.69 (+4.0%) | 58.45 (+5.3%) | Vista Energy printed a fresh oversold-bounce BUY cv63 and is undervalued with quality (adj), but acquires are vetoed under US-56. WATCH: on a 2nd consecutive BUY print, buy at the live Entry_Price if US-56 has lifted. |
| AAPL | Apple | 354.88 | BUY-STOP | 356.78 | 330.69 | 357.64 (+0.2%) | 358.07 (+0.4%) | 360.31 (+1.0%) | Apple printed a 2nd BUY - ANTICIPATE (2 of the last 3, cv69, adj 68), making it anticipate-eligible, but the pre-commitment required US-56 to lift and it has not. WATCH: GTC buy-stop at the live Entry_Price, 0.5x slot x0.5, once US-56 lifts. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
351 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.310 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.