Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 45.40 | ADD — QUEUED @45.28 | 45.28 | 42.84 | 46.13 (+1.9%) | 48.12 (+6.3%) | 49.76 (+9.9%) | Fresh multi-snapshot add on the bankable PullbackBuy_VWAP cell (learnings L1) with conviction rising ->66 across the last three sessions and a strong 12wk view (49.76, +9.9%). Queued as a GTC buy-limit at 45.28 (below the 45.40 close) so it fills only on a pullback -- self-limiting into an event-gated week. Size halved (995 = 0.5x the 1,990-sh model ADD) for the FOMC-minutes 07-08 no-new-leverage posture + de-risk-into-CPI-07-14 bias and the marginal conviction / OVERVALUED_VS_RI, Quality_Pass F read (gate off -- ADD to a held name). val_adj 0. Cost if filled; stop 42.84. L8 pending_next_open, execute at the 07-08 open, reprice if the open gaps >1.5%; auto-withdraw if unfilled by 07-10 or if the family flips off the PullbackBuy cell (US-8). · news |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 266.78 | SELL 88.52% | 266.78 | 251.00 | n/a | n/a | 218.81 (-18.0%) | Stable STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, conv 68 across all three sessions) with a deeply negative 12-week projection (218.81 vs 266.78 close, -18%) -- a valid signal-based trend exit per CLAUDE.md §9 / learnings L2, extending the 07-06 de-risk to the next tier. News confirms: VRSN fell after Berkshire Hathaway CUT its stake, with an AI-chatbot navigation shift and a core-contract-renewal overhang weighing on the name. Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -1.93, deepest full position -> up-ranked) amplifies only, no tier bump (not <=-3). Reduce 89% = @ ~266.78 (Market, next open); residual on reset chandelier stop 251.00. Trim-discipline G1-G3 N/A (bearish-signal REDUCE, not a profit-trim on an uptrend). L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-08, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| LEN | Lennar Corp | 86.74 | SELL 88.52% | 86.74 | 80.90 | n/a | 85.80 (-1.1%) | 75.71 (-12.7%) | STRONG SELL - REDUCE on a fresh RallySell_BearTrend flip with strengthening conviction and a negative 12-week view (75.71 vs 86.74 close, -12.7%; 4wk target 85.80, -1.1%) -- a signal-based trend exit (CLAUDE.md §9 / L2). Homebuilder rolling over into a hawkish-rate week reinforces the sell but is not required for it. Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -0.78, Quality_Pass F) amplifies only, no tier bump. Reduce 89% = @ ~86.74 (Market, next open); residual on reset chandelier stop 80.90. L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-08, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| STZ | Constellation Brands Inc | 131.76 | SELL 88.52% | 131.76 | 120.50 | n/a | n/a | 100.36 (-23.8%) | STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, conv 69) flipped down from 07-06, carrying the deepest structural downside in the pool (12wk 100.36 vs 131.76 close, -23.8%) -- a signal-based trend exit (CLAUDE.md §9 / L2). Small dollar size (204-sh full position) but a legitimate de-risk of a rolling-over staple. Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -0.92, Quality_Pass T) amplifies only, no tier bump. Reduce 89% = @ ~131.76 (Market, next open); residual on reset chandelier stop 120.50. L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-08, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines Inc | 88.63 | NO ACTION | 87.46 | 83.71 | 88.71 (+1.4%) | 94.97 (+8.6%) | 121.64 (+39.1%) | Strongest buy on the board -- BUY - ADD conv 71 on PullbackBuy_VWAP (L1), Buy_Rank 1, adj conv 67 after val_adj -4 (FAIR_VALUE, MoS_FV -0.76), 12wk 121.64 (+37%). NOT queued: DAL reports Q2 earnings 2026-07-10 (two sessions after execution) with a bearish street preview (EPS -32% YoY, bracing for a miss + light Q3 guidance). L6 (no gap-chase) + catalyst-aware hold -> do not put on a fresh pullback-limit add that could fill 07-08/09 right into the print. Hold the existing through earnings; re-arm the add after 07-10 on a confirmed pullback to ~87.46. Ledgered direction=none/optional so the counterfactual grader prices what waiting cost or saved. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 84.05 | NO ACTION | 84.60 | 80.53 | n/a | 97.26 (+15.0%) | 88.93 (+5.1%) | Dropped from 07-06 BUY - ADD (68) to HOLD conv 58 at the anchor; still sub-floor after the val haircut (GROWTH_PRICED_IN, MoS_FV -2.19 -> val_adj -10). BreakoutUp_52W, not a PullbackBuy (L1). Held, no add -- unchanged from 07-06. Re-arm if it clears entry with adjusted conviction >=65. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
18 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.