US Semiconductors — End-of-Day Verdict
⚠ SAME SEMIS AS us (execute ONCE); MIRROR rotation: NVDA trim 25% -> add GLW(queue)/MU; net-new semi = ASX (cv76→adj81). DELL is us-only (not a semi).
Recommendations
3 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | — | TRIM 25% | 195.74 | 189.00 | n/a | n/a | 179.31 (-8.4%) | stop-break + neg 12wk; SAME SHARES as us — execute once |
| QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated | — | SYNC_EXIT | 204.90 | — | n/a | n/a | 246.39 (+20.2%) | exited in us 06-25; ussemicon JSON stale at 100 — sync to 0 |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated | — | ADD QUEUED gtc-limit | 221.08 | 196.00 | 260.04 (+17.6%) | 367.00 (+66.0%) | 316.42 (+43.1%) | STRONG BUY-ADD cv90 extended; queue pullback; SAME SHARES as us |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | — | ADD | 1239.11 | 1090.00 | 1488.40 (+20.1%) | 2172.77 (+75.3%) | 1729.32 (+39.6%) | BUY-ADD cv80 blowout; 0.5x; SAME SHARES as us; 4wk tgt 2172 extreme overshoot |
| ASX | ASE Technology Holding | — | NEW BUY | 41.85 | 40.46 | 43.33 (+3.5%) | 47.39 (+13.2%) | 59.64 (+42.5%) | net-new semi; clean entry; FailedBreakdown +5 (vs us -5); AI packaging; pick vs us DELL on shared pool · news |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | — | HOLD | 258.80 | 243.51 | 268.58 (+3.8%) | 295.44 (+14.2%) | 368.79 (+42.5%) | HOLD cv68 rising, UNDERVALUED; conditional add only on BUY-ADD/52W break |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.267 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
24 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.