US Semiconductors — End-of-Day Verdict
⚠ SAME SEMIS AS us (execute ONCE; us 06-30 governs); MIRROR adds KLAC+MU+new LRCX (cv93/cv93/cv93) + GLW queue; QCOM reconcile→0; NVDA hold. NO net-new ussemicon capital (shared spent by us); ASX = unfunded floor-clearer.
Recommendations
4 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | — | ADD | 278.39 | 233.72 | 292.59 (+5.1%) | 396.74 (+42.5%) | 396.71 (+42.5%) | STRONG BUY-ADD cv93 MomentumContinuation, UNDERVALUED+Qpass; SAME semis as us (execute once) · news |
| MU | Micron Technology | — | ADD | 1145.28 | 925.75 | 1163.91 (+1.6%) | 1300.55 (+13.6%) | 1632.02 (+42.5%) | BUY-ADD cv78 PullbackBuy; val suppressed (DCF unreliable RevGw 2.59); SAME semis as us (execute once) |
| LRCX | Lam Research | — | NEW BUY | 410.91 | 327.12 | 433.01 (+5.4%) | 595.07 (+44.8%) | 585.55 (+42.5%) | STRONG BUY cv93 MomentumContinuation, Qpass; the us new-buy, shared semi; execute once via us · news |
| GLW | Corning | — | ADD QUEUED gtc-limit | 235.52 | 207.74 | 257.00 (+9.1%) | 418.89 (+77.9%) | 364.36 (+54.7%) | BUY-ADD cv65 extended eD -0.83; L1 52W overshoots -> QUEUE pullback; shared w/ us |
| QCOM | Qualcomm | — | RECONCILE->0 | 188.72 | 203.16 | 188.40 (-0.2%) | 186.18 (-1.3%) | 202.21 (+7.1%) | already sold in us; ussemicon JSON drift -> reconcile to 0; cv49 sell T12 +7.1% not clean L2 |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | — | HOLD | 194.97 | 189.00 | n/a | n/a | 169.90 (-12.9%) | sell eased -> NO TRADE; us trimmed to 800; sync JSON; hold |
| — | NO NET-NEW USSEMICON BUY | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASX(FailedBreakdown +2,adj78)/TSM/SNDK clear floor but unfunded - shared by us (UT-4); don't double |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
20 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.120 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
24 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.