Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1887.04 | BUY-STOP — QUEUED @1846.17 | 1846.17 | 1495.87 | 2056.34 (+11.4%) | 2546.75 (+37.9%) | 2359.85 (+27.8%) | Sandisk rose 6.8% after Rosenblatt started coverage at Buy (target), citing long-term customer agreements that cover about 65% of fiscal-2028 output, and the model printed its second pre-breakout setup in three sessions (conviction 88) on a name that passes our quality screen at roughly fair value. We place a half-size order at the model entry rather than chasing the close. OPERATIONAL: first-ever fill of the ANTICIPATE slot (ANT96 / B68 / ANT88 =, cv88 >= 55; W). adj 83 = 88 - 5 (MoS -1.05, usable DCF 2,625.87) + 0 (AnticipationUp_VCP|buy n=1 report-only). The engine's 'Buy Stop @1846.17' sits below the 1,887.04 close (a market order = a chase; Entry_Distance_ATR -0.35), so a gtc_limit at the live Entry_Price is used (range 1,816.98-1,875.36). Size: 0.7768 x x 0.20 x 0.75 (MoS -1.05) x 0.5 (anticipate) = =, capped by S at 1% of book / 350.30 risk/sh = =, defined risk (1.00%). Stop 1,495.87 (3.0 ATR, -18.97%). R:R 2.00:1 (V4); 12wk 2,359.85 > entry (S7); RSI 64.7. f=0.30 (8 graded buys). expires after the 09-25 close, before MU FQ4 AMC 09-30 (S5 read-through). Withdraw: cv < 55, label leaves the bullish family, settled close < EMA20 ~1,641.12, or expiry. · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 228.87 | HOLD | 228.87 | 218.10 | 232.10 (+1.4%) | 239.64 (+4.7%) | 243.78 (+6.5%) | Nvidia's signal firmed again to conviction 78 and the position is above cost, so we hold and raise the stop to the model's new level. OPERATIONAL: trail-raise 215.66 -> 218.10 (engine Stop_Price, 2.00 ATR clearance, U2 pass). PROFIT_ARMED at +0.91% / Gain_ATR 0.38 is the T12-ratio arm (U4); no fire tick (no other Exit_Warning, cv, 12wk 243.78 > 1.02x close, no NO TRADE). Triggers: settled close < 218.10 -> sell 30%; settled close < EMA200 ~202.42 -> full exit. peak_stop 221.79 (erosion 1.66%, ADR-0020 15% far away). W2: +0.66% vs +1.82% median, third lagging session. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 452.00 | HOLD | 452.00 | 426.26 | 468.85 (+3.7%) | 508.18 (+12.4%) | 477.85 (+5.7%) | TSMC stays strongly rated (conviction 88) and is 3% above cost, so the small position is held and the stop nudged up. OPERATIONAL: PROFIT_ARMED (+3.19%, Gain_ATR 1.37, T12 ratio arm U4) with no fire tick (RSI_DIV cleared; cv is -5, not >=20; 12wk alive). Stop 425.52 -> 426.26 (engine line, 2.51 ATR); new peak_stop 426.26. T5:-sh stub never sliced. Trigger: settled close < 426.26 -> full exit of. |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1747.90 | HOLD | 1747.90 | 1608.17 | n/a | n/a | 1594.35 (-8.8%) | ASML's model sell was withdrawn and the stock outperformed the group, so the small position is held under explicit exit triggers. OPERATIONAL: AVOID cv64 (do-not-add), -4.33% vs cost, PROFIT_ARMED is the U4 phantom arm (Gain_ATR -1.51). W1 conversion triggers (mandatory, full exit per T5): any re-print of SELL/STRONG SELL - REDUCE; or a settled close < 1,608.17. peak_stop 1,736.47, live stop erosion 7.39% (ADR-0020 15% not fired). ASML Q earnings 10-14 outside the window. · news |
| — | Micron Technology, Inc. | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Micron rose 5% but the model now flags it as overbought, which is not a buy setup. OPERATIONAL: the 09-21 S4 re-arm (ANTICIPATE again with cv >= 55) did NOT fire: printed AVOID ReversalDown_Overbought cv65. FQ4 AMC 09-30 (S5). Re-arm: a bullish-family print (BUY/SB/ANT) with cv >= 65 at an EOD before 09-29 -> ACQUIRE/anticipate test; nothing across the print. |
| — | Lumentum Holdings | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Lumentum is the only name on a plain buy signal tonight but it fails our financial-quality screen and its conviction is fading. OPERATIONAL: Quality_Pass FALSE hard gate; adj 58 = 68 + 0 (broken DCF) - 10 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy); trail B83 -> B76 -> B68. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
58 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.